Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Spiders @ Rams RICH @ URI

RICHMOND

SPIDERSRICH

13-10  |  Road

77
FINAL
Sat, Feb 7 • 2:00 PM ET
Thomas M. Ryan Center
View Odds Details →

RHODE ISLAND

RAMSURI

13-9  |  Home

82
AI Model Win Probability
SPIDERS
100%
📊
RAMS
0%
SPIDERS --
RAMS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
132.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-30.0
RHODE ISLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +30.0 points (Rhode Island)
SpidersRICH (-3.5) 0 RamsURI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Spiders Cover

0.1%

Rams Cover

99.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around URI -30.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (URI)

RICH By 1-7 points

0.1%

RICH By 8-14 points

0.0%

URI By 1-7 points

1.1%

URI By 8-14 points

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
51
RICHMOND
81
RHODE ISLAND
Simulated Score
70
RICHMOND
72
RHODE ISLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rams Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rams Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rams (-6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Sim Rams (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u141.5 Loss
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Sim u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 7, 2026 RICH @ URI 77 - 82
Jan 21, 2026 URI @ RICH 69 - 68
Jan 11, 2025 URI @ RICH 67 - 64
Feb 21, 2024 RICH @ URI 85 - 77
Jan 17, 2023 URI @ RICH 57 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +69.3% more
Rhode Island: 4.1 vs Richmond: 2.4
Steals (L5) +29.7% more
Rhode Island: 8.0 vs Richmond: 6.2
Turnovers (L5) +24.2% more
Rhode Island: 12.3 vs Richmond: 9.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.6%
Rhode Island: 35.1% vs Richmond: 32.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
RICH Score 51.0 77
URI Score 81.0 82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.1 / 32.4 35.0 / 41.0
Assists 11.4 / 10.7 12.0 / 15.0
Blocks 4.1 / 2.4 4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 42.7 / 41.0 45.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 65.5 / 74.4 81.0 / 87.0
Rebounding 29.5 / 28.9 35.0 / 27.0
Steals 8.0 / 6.2 9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 12.3 / 9.9 11.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
6%MONEY94%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
83%MONEY17%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
88%MONEY12%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RICH
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +0.2
URI Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.7 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RICH Advantage
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +0.2
URI
13-18-1 (41.9%)
Margin: 1.7 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
RICH
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: +0.8
URI
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4% Total +/-: -5.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
URI
RICH
URI
RICH
ML
62% 20-12
53% 17-15
59% 19-13
56% 18-14
ATS
56% 18-14
44% 14-18
59% 19-13
56% 18-14
TTL
56% 18-14
56% 18-14
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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