AI Model Win Probability
CATAMOUNTS
0%
TERRIERS
100%
CATAMOUNTS
--
TERRIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
WOFFORD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WOF +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WOF)
WCU By 1-7 points
26.2%
WCU By 8-14 points
16.9%
WOF By 1-7 points
24.3%
WOF By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Western Carolina
74
WESTERN CAROLINA
Wofford
73
WOFFORD
Simulated Score
Western Carolina
72
WESTERN CAROLINA
Wofford
78
WOFFORD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Catamounts
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Terriers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Terriers (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim
Terriers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u155.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim
u155.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
WCU @ WOF
66 - 77
Dec 31, 2025
WOF @ WCU
79 - 74
Feb 26, 2025
WOF @ WCU
90 - 67
Jan 8, 2025
WCU @ WOF
69 - 77
Feb 3, 2024
WCU @ WOF
86 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+35.7% more
Western Carolina: 4.8
vs
Wofford: 3.1
Blocks (L5)
+27.9% more
Western Carolina: 3.8
vs
Wofford: 2.8
Turnovers (L5)
+9.0% more
Western Carolina: 9.3
vs
Wofford: 8.4
Assists (L5)
+20.1% more
Wofford: 14.0
vs
Western Carolina: 11.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WCU Score
74.0
66
WOF Score
73.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.2 / 34.6
33.0 / 31.0
Assists
14.0 / 11.6
13.0 / 12.0
Blocks
2.8 / 3.8
6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
47.2 / 44.8
55.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
75.0 / 67.1
92.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
35.5 / 34.7
32.0 / 35.0
Steals
3.1 / 4.8
2.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
8.4 / 9.3
13.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WCU
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +1.8
WOF
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 1.6
ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WCU
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +1.8
WOF
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.6
ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
WCU
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +2.5
WOF
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WOF
WCU
WOF
WCU
ML
39%
12-19
63%
19-11
61%
19-12
76%
22-7
ATS
58%
18-13
73%
22-8
61%
19-12
77%
23-7
TTL
65%
20-11
67%
20-10
100%
31-0
100%
30-0