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KENT STATE

GOLDEN FLASHESKENT

17-6  |  Road

65
FINAL
Sat, Feb 7 • 3:00 PM ET
Reed Green Coliseum
View Odds Details →

SOUTHERN MISS

GOLDEN EAGLESUSM

12-13  |  Home

66
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN FLASHES
0%
📊
GOLDEN EAGLES
100%
GOLDEN FLASHES --
GOLDEN EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
KENT STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Kent State)
Golden FlashesKENT (-3.5) 0 Golden EaglesUSM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Flashes Cover

75.8%

Golden Eagles Cover

24.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around KENT -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KENT)

KENT By 1-7 points

26.2%

KENT By 8-14 points

25.3%

USM By 1-7 points

15.3%

USM By 8-14 points

5.8%

AI Model Projected Score
80
KENT STATE
73
SOUTHERN MISS
Simulated Score
68
KENT STATE
80
SOUTHERN MISS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Golden Flashes Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Golden Flashes (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Golden Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o149.5 Loss
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim u149.5 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 7, 2026 KENT @ USM 65 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +23.8% more
Kent State: 46.6 vs Southern Miss: 35.5
Assists (L5) +18.7% more
Kent State: 12.3 vs Southern Miss: 10.0
Turnovers (L5) +17.0% more
Kent State: 14.7 vs Southern Miss: 12.2
Blocks (L5) +13.7% more
Kent State: 3.7 vs Southern Miss: 3.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
KENT Score 80.0 65
USM Score 73.0 66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.4 / 26.7 28.0 / 25.0
Assists 10.0 / 12.3 6.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.2 / 3.7 5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 41.9 / 37.8 37.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 72.7 / 71.5 79.0 / 44.0
Rebounding 35.5 / 46.6 43.0 / 36.0
Steals 7.3 / 6.6 5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 12.2 / 14.7 11.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
96%TICKETS4%
89%MONEY11%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
39%MONEY61%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
8%MONEY92%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KENT Advantage
24-10-0 (70.6%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -2.4
USM
19-16-0 (54.3%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KENT
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -2.4
USM Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
KENT
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.6
USM
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4% Total +/-: +3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
USM
KENT
USM
KENT
ML
53% 18-16
53% 18-16
73% 24-9
65% 22-12
ATS
59% 20-14
65% 22-12
74% 25-9
65% 22-12
TTL
68% 23-11
44% 15-19
100% 34-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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