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WILLIAM & MARY

TRIBEW&M

15-8  |  Road

74
FINAL
Sat, Feb 7 • 2:30 PM ET
Convocation Center (VA)
View Odds Details →

HAMPTON

PIRATESHAMP

11-13  |  Home

77
AI Model Win Probability
TRIBE
100%
📊
PIRATES
0%
TRIBE --
PIRATES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
HAMPTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Hampton)
TribeW&M (-3.5) 0 PiratesHAMP (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tribe Cover

9.7%

Pirates Cover

90.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HAMP -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HAMP)

W&M By 1-7 points

6.8%

W&M By 8-14 points

1.7%

HAMP By 1-7 points

18.6%

HAMP By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
72
WILLIAM & MARY
85
HAMPTON
Simulated Score
68
WILLIAM & MARY
72
HAMPTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Pirates Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Pirates Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Pirates (+5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim Pirates (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o151.5 Loss
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 3, 2026 HAMP @ W&M 85 - 94
Feb 7, 2026 W&M @ HAMP 74 - 77
Jan 23, 2025 HAMP @ W&M 83 - 94
Jan 16, 2025 W&M @ HAMP 67 - 64
Mar 2, 2024 HAMP @ W&M 73 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +12.6% more
Hampton: 38.2 vs William & Mary: 33.9
Blocks (L5) +11.1% more
Hampton: 3.9 vs William & Mary: 3.5
Assists (L5) +36.2% more
William & Mary: 16.2 vs Hampton: 10.3
Steals (L5) +13.0% more
William & Mary: 6.7 vs Hampton: 5.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
W&M Score 72.0 74
HAMP Score 85.0 77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.4 / 39.6 43.0 / 7.0
Assists 10.3 / 16.2 14.0 / 14.0
Blocks 3.9 / 3.5 2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 36.7 / 48.9 42.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 68.3 / 76.8 71.0 / 72.0
Rebounding 38.2 / 33.9 37.0 / 29.0
Steals 5.8 / 6.7 7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.1 / 11.1 12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
95%TICKETS5%
96%MONEY4%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
71%MONEY29%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
22%MONEY78%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
W&M Advantage
20-12-0 (62.5%)
Margin: 5.4 ATS +/-: +0.8
HAMP
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
W&M
16-14-0 (53.3%)
Margin: 5.4 ATS +/-: +0.8
HAMP Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
W&M
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -1.8
HAMP
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HAMP
W&M
HAMP
W&M
ML
53% 17-15
55% 17-14
75% 24-8
61% 19-12
ATS
50% 16-16
63% 19-11-1
75% 24-8
61% 19-12
TTL
68% 21-10-1
61% 19-12
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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