AI Model Win Probability
PIONEERS
0%
JASPERS
100%
PIONEERS
--
JASPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
SACRED HEART
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Sacred Heart)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SHU -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SHU)
SHU By 1-7 points
9.3%
SHU By 8-14 points
20.1%
MAN By 1-7 points
2.2%
MAN By 8-14 points
0.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Sacred Heart
86
SACRED HEART
Manhattan
67
MANHATTAN
Simulated Score
Sacred Heart
68
SACRED HEART
Manhattan
72
MANHATTAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pioneers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jaspers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pioneers (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim
Jaspers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u161.0
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim
u161.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
SHU @ MAN
68 - 80
Mar 6, 2025
SHU @ MAN
74 - 90
Feb 2, 2025
MAN @ SHU
72 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+32.2% more
Sacred Heart: 3.4
vs
Manhattan: 2.3
Assists (L5)
+14.2% more
Sacred Heart: 16.5
vs
Manhattan: 14.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.9%
Sacred Heart: 37.4%
vs
Manhattan: 29.5%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.2%
Sacred Heart: 45.4%
vs
Manhattan: 42.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SHU Score
86.0
68
MAN Score
67.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.5 / 37.4
33.0 / 27.0
Assists
14.1 / 16.5
13.0 / 10.0
Blocks
2.3 / 3.4
1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.2 / 45.4
44.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
84.2 / 74.9
90.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
33.9 / 31.3
38.0 / 37.0
Steals
6.0 / 4.9
7.0 / 1.0
Turnovers
10.0 / 10.3
8.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SHU
Advantage
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -1.3
MAN
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -4.9
ATS +/-: -3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SHU
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -1.3
MAN
11-19-1
(36.7%)
Margin: -4.9
ATS +/-: -3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
SHU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: +1.5
MAN
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: +2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MAN
SHU
MAN
SHU
ML
52%
16-15
61%
20-13
68%
21-10
73%
24-9
ATS
52%
16-15
76%
25-8
69%
22-10
73%
24-9
TTL
77%
24-7
58%
19-14
100%
32-0
100%
33-0