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SIENA

SAINTSSIE

17-7  |  Road

65
FINAL
Sat, Feb 7 • 2:00 PM ET
Yanitelli Center
View Odds Details →

SAINT PETER'S

PEACOCKSSPU

13-8  |  Home

70
AI Model Win Probability
SAINTS
0%
📊
PEACOCKS
100%
SAINTS --
PEACOCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
114.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
SIENA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Siena)
SaintsSIE (-3.5) 0 PeacocksSPU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Saints Cover

72.6%

Peacocks Cover

27.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SIE -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SIE)

SIE By 1-7 points

26.8%

SIE By 8-14 points

24.3%

SPU By 1-7 points

16.9%

SPU By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
60
SIENA
54
SAINT PETER'S
Simulated Score
62
SIENA
68
SAINT PETER'S
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Saints Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Peacocks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Saints (+1) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Peacocks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u136.0 Win
Proj Total: 114.0
D
Sim u136.0 Win
Proj Total: 130.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 22, 2026 SPU @ SIE 63 - 72
Feb 7, 2026 SIE @ SPU 65 - 70
Feb 6, 2025 SPU @ SIE 63 - 77
Feb 16, 2024 SIE @ SPU 53 - 75
Jan 28, 2024 SPU @ SIE 63 - 52
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +18.6% more
Siena: 10.3 vs Saint Peter's: 8.4
Field Goal % (L5) +12.1%
Siena: 53.7% vs Saint Peter's: 41.5%
Free Throw % (L5) +7.9%
Siena: 82.2% vs Saint Peter's: 74.4%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.0%
Siena: 34.7% vs Saint Peter's: 31.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SIE Score 60.0 65
SPU Score 54.0 70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.8 / 34.7 27.0 / 18.0
Assists 16.4 / 15.4 7.0 / 12.0
Blocks 2.9 / 2.6 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 41.5 / 53.7 46.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 74.4 / 82.2 61.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 36.9 / 32.1 37.0 / 24.0
Steals 7.1 / 6.5 9.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 8.4 / 10.3 14.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SIE Advantage
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 4.5 ATS +/-: +1.3
SPU
17-12-0 (58.6%)
Margin: 2.4 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SIE Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 4.5 ATS +/-: +1.3
SPU
16-11-1 (59.3%)
Margin: 2.4 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
SIE
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6% Total +/-: -1.9
SPU
10-18-0
O: 35.7% / U: 64.3% Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SPU
SIE
SPU
SIE
ML
64% 18-10
66% 23-12
71% 20-8
48% 16-17
ATS
71% 20-8
66% 23-12
71% 20-8
48% 16-17
TTL
61% 17-11
54% 19-16
100% 28-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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