WAGNER
SEAHAWKSWAG
8-13 | Road
67
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
BLUE DEVILSCCSU
12-10 | Home
84
AI Model Win Probability
SEAHAWKS
100%
BLUE DEVILS
0%
SEAHAWKS
--
BLUE DEVILS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
182.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Central Connecticut)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CCSU -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CCSU)
WAG By 1-7 points
16.9%
WAG By 8-14 points
6.8%
CCSU By 1-7 points
26.8%
CCSU By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Wagner
88
WAGNER
Central Connecticut
94
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Simulated Score
Wagner
68
WAGNER
Central Connecticut
72
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blue Devils
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Devils
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blue Devils (-5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Blue Devils (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o137.5
Win
Proj Total: 182.0
D
Sim
u137.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 4, 2026
WAG @ CCSU
70 - 60
Feb 7, 2026
WAG @ CCSU
67 - 84
Jan 29, 2026
CCSU @ WAG
62 - 55
Mar 1, 2025
CCSU @ WAG
55 - 48
Jan 10, 2025
WAG @ CCSU
62 - 57
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+49.5% more
Central Connecticut: 2.9
vs
Wagner: 2.0
Assists (L5)
+18.1% more
Central Connecticut: 13.4
vs
Wagner: 11.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.7%
Central Connecticut: 82.6%
vs
Wagner: 75.9%
Steals (L5)
+16.8% more
Wagner: 5.3
vs
Central Connecticut: 4.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WAG Score
88.0
67
CCSU Score
94.0
84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.0 / 36.8
55.0 / 33.0
Assists
13.4 / 11.4
17.0 / 13.0
Blocks
2.9 / 2.0
6.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
46.0 / 45.6
57.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
82.6 / 75.9
77.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
33.7 / 31.9
36.0 / 28.0
Steals
4.4 / 5.3
6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 11.2
10.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WAG
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-: +2.1
CCSU
Advantage
18-12-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WAG
Advantage
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-: +2.1
CCSU
14-13-1
(51.8%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
WAG
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +4.4
CCSU
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +3.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CCSU
WAG
CCSU
WAG
ML
57%
17-13
63%
19-11
57%
17-13
57%
17-13
ATS
63%
19-11
60%
18-12
57%
17-13
57%
17-13
TTL
60%
18-12
53%
16-14
100%
30-0
100%
30-0
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