Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Mountaineers EMU @ APP

EASTERN MICHIGAN

EAGLESEMU

9-14  |  Road

60
FINAL
Sat, Feb 7 • 1:00 PM ET
Holmes Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

APP STATE

MOUNTAINEERSAPP

16-9  |  Home

65
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
MOUNTAINEERS
0%
EAGLES --
MOUNTAINEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
118.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
APP STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (App State)
EaglesEMU (-3.5) 0 MountaineersAPP (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

15.9%

Mountaineers Cover

84.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around APP -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (APP)

EMU By 1-7 points

10.7%

EMU By 8-14 points

3.3%

APP By 1-7 points

23.0%

APP By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
54
EASTERN MICHIGAN
64
APP STATE
Simulated Score
65
EASTERN MICHIGAN
78
APP STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Mountaineers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Mountaineers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Mountaineers (-7.5) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Mountaineers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u129.5 Win
Proj Total: 118.0
D
Sim u129.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 7, 2026 EMU @ APP 60 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +16.4% more
App State: 39.9 vs Eastern Michigan: 34.3
Assists (L5) +13.2% more
App State: 12.3 vs Eastern Michigan: 10.8
Blocks (L5) +41.0% more
Eastern Michigan: 5.0 vs App State: 2.9
Turnovers (L5) +36.9% more
Eastern Michigan: 14.2 vs App State: 9.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EMU Score 54.0 60
APP Score 64.0 65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.7 / 31.4 19.0 / 27.0
Assists 12.3 / 10.8 13.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.9 / 5.0 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 41.3 / 43.5 39.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 73.1 / 74.6 54.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 39.9 / 34.3 43.0 / 37.0
Steals 4.9 / 6.9 4.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 9.0 / 14.2 7.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
9%MONEY91%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
59%MONEY41%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
18%MONEY82%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EMU
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.1
APP Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EMU Advantage
20-10-0 (66.7%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.1
APP
16-13-1 (55.2%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
EMU
9-21-0
O: 30.0% / U: 70.0% Total +/-: -3.6
APP
12-18-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
APP
EMU
APP
EMU
ML
62% 20-12
65% 20-11
59% 19-13
70% 21-9
ATS
59% 19-13
65% 20-11
59% 19-13
70% 21-9
TTL
69% 22-10
71% 22-9
100% 32-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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