Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Minutemen @ Chanticleers MASS @ CCU

MASSACHUSETTS

MINUTEMENMASS

15-9  |  Road

91
FINAL
Sat, Feb 7 • 1:00 PM ET
The HTC Center
View Odds Details →

COASTAL CAROLINA

CHANTICLEERSCCU

14-11  |  Home

94
AI Model Win Probability
MINUTEMEN
0%
📊
CHANTICLEERS
100%
MINUTEMEN --
CHANTICLEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
MASSACHUSETTS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (Massachusetts)
MinutemenMASS (-3.5) 0 ChanticleersCCU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Minutemen Cover

98.9%

Chanticleers Cover

1.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MASS -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MASS)

MASS By 1-7 points

4.8%

MASS By 8-14 points

13.7%

CCU By 1-7 points

0.8%

CCU By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
86
MASSACHUSETTS
63
COASTAL CAROLINA
Simulated Score
65
MASSACHUSETTS
78
COASTAL CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Minutemen Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Chanticleers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Minutemen (+2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim Chanticleers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o140.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 7, 2026 MASS @ CCU 91 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +36.4% more
Massachusetts: 8.2 vs Coastal Carolina: 5.2
Assists (L5) +28.0% more
Massachusetts: 19.0 vs Coastal Carolina: 13.7
Field Goal % (L5) +6.8%
Massachusetts: 49.9% vs Coastal Carolina: 43.0%
Free Throw % (L5) +3.2%
Massachusetts: 70.9% vs Coastal Carolina: 67.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MASS Score 86.0 91
CCU Score 63.0 94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.2 / 33.5 47.0 / 38.0
Assists 13.7 / 19.0 13.0 / 11.0
Blocks 3.0 / 2.2 4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 43.0 / 49.9 43.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 67.8 / 70.9 50.0 / 48.0
Rebounding 37.6 / 30.9 51.0 / 58.0
Steals 5.2 / 8.2 4.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 12.8 / 10.1 10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
81%MONEY19%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
66%MONEY34%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
22%MONEY78%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MASS
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
CCU Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MASS
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
CCU Advantage
18-12-1 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
MASS
20-12-0
O: 62.5% / U: 37.5% Total +/-: +4.5
CCU
17-13-1
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: -0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CCU
MASS
CCU
MASS
ML
41% 13-19
44% 14-18
55% 17-14
68% 21-10
ATS
38% 12-20
47% 15-17
55% 17-14
68% 21-10
TTL
75% 24-8
56% 18-14
100% 31-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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