Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Huskies @ Seawolves NE @ STBK

NORTHEASTERN

HUSKIESNE

6-16  |  Road

55
FINAL
Sat, Feb 7 • 4:00 PM ET
Stony Brook Arena
View Odds Details →

STONY BROOK

SEAWOLVESSTBK

14-10  |  Home

69
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
100%
📊
SEAWOLVES
0%
HUSKIES --
SEAWOLVES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
100.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
STONY BROOK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Stony Brook)
HuskiesNE (-3.5) 0 SeawolvesSTBK (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Huskies Cover

27.4%

Seawolves Cover

72.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around STBK -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STBK)

NE By 1-7 points

16.9%

NE By 8-14 points

6.8%

STBK By 1-7 points

26.8%

STBK By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
47
NORTHEASTERN
53
STONY BROOK
Simulated Score
67
NORTHEASTERN
71
STONY BROOK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Seawolves Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Seawolves Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Seawolves (-3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Seawolves (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 100.0
D
Sim u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 7, 2026 NE @ STBK 55 - 69
Jan 22, 2026 STBK @ NE 95 - 80
Feb 15, 2025 STBK @ NE 60 - 71
Jan 11, 2025 NE @ STBK 70 - 66
Mar 9, 2024 NE @ STBK 65 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +96.1% more
Stony Brook: 4.0 vs Northeastern: 2.0
Turnovers (L5) +38.6% more
Stony Brook: 13.3 vs Northeastern: 9.6
Rebounding (L5) +27.9% more
Stony Brook: 38.6 vs Northeastern: 30.2
Free Throw % (L5) +20.1%
Stony Brook: 78.9% vs Northeastern: 58.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NE Score 47.0 55
STBK Score 53.0 69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.5 / 34.7 30.0 / 25.0
Assists 13.4 / 16.6 15.0 / 10.0
Blocks 4.0 / 2.0 2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 44.1 / 46.8 48.0 / 33.0
Free Throw % 78.9 / 58.8 74.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 38.6 / 30.2 35.0 / 36.0
Steals 5.8 / 5.7 8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 13.3 / 9.6 13.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
16%MONEY84%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
48%MONEY52%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
87%MONEY13%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NE
7-24-0 (22.6%)
Margin: -6.1 ATS +/-: -2.2
STBK Advantage
17-15-0 (53.1%)
Margin: 0.6 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NE
11-20-0 (35.5%)
Margin: -6.1 ATS +/-: -2.2
STBK Advantage
17-13-0 (56.7%)
Margin: 0.6 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
NE
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5% Total +/-: +7.6
STBK
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STBK
NE
STBK
NE
ML
61% 19-12
70% 21-9
71% 22-9
60% 18-12
ATS
61% 19-12
63% 19-11
71% 22-9
60% 18-12
TTL
65% 20-11
53% 16-14
100% 31-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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