Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Owls @ Pirates TEM @ ECU

TEMPLE

OWLSTEM

14-8  |  Road

81
FINAL
Sat, Feb 7 • 12:00 PM ET
Minges Coliseum
View Odds Details →

EAST CAROLINA

PIRATESECU

7-15  |  Home

73
AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
100%
📊
PIRATES
0%
OWLS --
PIRATES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
EAST CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (East Carolina)
OwlsTEM (-3.5) 0 PiratesECU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Owls Cover

4.5%

Pirates Cover

95.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ECU -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ECU)

TEM By 1-7 points

3.3%

TEM By 8-14 points

0.6%

ECU By 1-7 points

12.2%

ECU By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
62
TEMPLE
79
EAST CAROLINA
Simulated Score
68
TEMPLE
72
EAST CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Pirates Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Pirates Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Pirates (+3.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim Pirates (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o139.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim u139.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 7, 2026 TEM @ ECU 81 - 73
Jan 7, 2026 ECU @ TEM 67 - 75
Feb 1, 2025 ECU @ TEM 94 - 98
Jan 8, 2025 TEM @ ECU 79 - 80
Jan 28, 2024 TEM @ ECU 64 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +16.1% more
East Carolina: 6.8 vs Temple: 5.9
Turnovers (L5) +9.6% more
East Carolina: 10.6 vs Temple: 9.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.7%
East Carolina: 34.4% vs Temple: 30.7%
Assists (L5) +10.7% more
Temple: 14.6 vs East Carolina: 13.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TEM Score 62.0 81
ECU Score 79.0 73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.4 / 30.7 25.0 / 28.0
Assists 13.0 / 14.6 8.0 / 16.0
Blocks 3.4 / 3.8 6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 41.9 / 43.0 47.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 73.8 / 82.6 74.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 34.8 / 32.2 31.0 / 40.0
Steals 6.8 / 5.9 3.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 10.6 / 9.7 6.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
85%TICKETS15%
76%MONEY24%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
77%MONEY23%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
81%MONEY19%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEM Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.2 ATS +/-: +0.1
ECU
11-20-0 (35.5%)
Margin: -5.9 ATS +/-: -2.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEM Advantage
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: 3.2 ATS +/-: +0.1
ECU
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -5.9 ATS +/-: -2.5
⚖️ Over/Under
TEM
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: -1.1
ECU
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ECU
TEM
ECU
TEM
ML
55% 17-14
62% 20-12
55% 17-14
67% 20-10
ATS
52% 16-15
56% 18-14
55% 17-14
67% 20-10
TTL
61% 19-12
69% 22-10
100% 31-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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