SAN DIEGO
TOREROSUSD
10-15 | Road
63
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
LIONSLMU
12-13 | Home
83
AI Model Win Probability
TOREROS
100%
LIONS
0%
TOREROS
--
LIONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Loyola Marymount)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LMU -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LMU)
USD By 1-7 points
6.8%
USD By 8-14 points
1.7%
LMU By 1-7 points
18.6%
LMU By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
San Diego
60
SAN DIEGO
Loyola Marymount
73
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
Simulated Score
San Diego
68
SAN DIEGO
Loyola Marymount
73
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Lions
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Lions
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Lions (-5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Lions (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 5, 2026
USD @ LMU
66 - 62
Feb 21, 2026
LMU @ USD
77 - 65
Feb 7, 2026
USD @ LMU
63 - 83
Mar 7, 2025
USD @ LMU
74 - 100
Feb 1, 2025
LMU @ USD
78 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+29.4% more
Loyola Marymount: 4.0
vs
San Diego: 3.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.7%
Loyola Marymount: 73.6%
vs
San Diego: 63.9%
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.8%
Loyola Marymount: 44.5%
vs
San Diego: 42.7%
Steals (L5)
+18.9% more
San Diego: 7.4
vs
Loyola Marymount: 6.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
USD Score
60.0
63
LMU Score
73.0
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.8 / 34.5
23.0 / 24.0
Assists
13.0 / 16.0
9.0 / 11.0
Blocks
4.0 / 3.1
2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
44.5 / 42.7
55.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
73.6 / 63.9
76.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
32.6 / 36.1
36.0 / 26.0
Steals
6.0 / 7.4
2.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
14.2 / 13.4
7.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
USD
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
LMU
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
USD
Advantage
16-15-0
(51.6%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
LMU
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
USD
12-17-2
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6%
Total +/-: +0.5
LMU
15-16-0
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LMU
USD
LMU
USD
ML
53%
17-15
58%
19-14
50%
16-16
70%
23-10
ATS
47%
15-17
55%
18-15
50%
16-16
70%
23-10
TTL
62%
20-12
61%
20-13
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
Jalen Shelley Compares Texas A&M Basketball's Press to Minnesota…
Northwestern Opens Ryan Field with Record-Breaking Debut Against…
SDSU's Nick Anderson Making Speedy Recovery from ACL Surgery, Ey…
Lions Edge Jets 31-24: Gibbs' Hat Trick, TeSlaa's Breakout, and …
Lions' Draft Radar: Five College Standouts to Watch in Week 4