Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Gators @ Aggies FLA @ TA&M

FLORIDA

GATORSFLA

16-6  |  Road

86
FINAL
Sat, Feb 7 • 8:30 PM ET
Reed Arena
View Odds Details →

TEXAS A&M

AGGIESTA&M

17-5  |  Home

67
AI Model Win Probability
GATORS
0%
📊
AGGIES
100%
GATORS --
AGGIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+5.0
TEXAS A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
GatorsFLA (-3.5) 0 AggiesTA&M (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Gators Cover

30.9%

Aggies Cover

69.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TA&M +5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TA&M)

FLA By 1-7 points

27.2%

FLA By 8-14 points

23.0%

TA&M By 1-7 points

18.6%

TA&M By 8-14 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
69
FLORIDA
64
TEXAS A&M
Simulated Score
70
FLORIDA
75
TEXAS A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Gators Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Aggies Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Aggies (+5.5) Win
Proj Spread: +5.0
D
Sim Aggies (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u167.0 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim u167.0 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 7, 2026 FLA @ TA&M 86 - 67
Mar 1, 2025 TA&M @ FLA 70 - 89
Mar 16, 2024 TA&M @ FLA 90 - 95
Feb 3, 2024 FLA @ TA&M 66 - 67
Jan 18, 2023 FLA @ TA&M 52 - 54
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +41.8% more
Florida: 5.6 vs Texas A&M: 3.3
Steals (L5) +21.4% more
Florida: 8.6 vs Texas A&M: 6.7
Rebounding (L5) +11.3% more
Florida: 44.0 vs Texas A&M: 39.0
Field Goal % (L5) +3.6%
Florida: 50.3% vs Texas A&M: 46.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FLA Score 69.0 86
TA&M Score 64.0 67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.5 / 30.5 26.0 / 26.0
Assists 19.6 / 20.7 14.0 / 16.0
Blocks 3.3 / 5.6 3.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 46.6 / 50.3 31.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 81.1 / 66.5 74.0 / 78.0
Rebounding 39.0 / 44.0 42.0 / 51.0
Steals 6.7 / 8.6 7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 8.8 / 7.7 9.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FLA Advantage
27-8-0 (77.1%)
Margin: 15.6 ATS +/-: +1.4
TA&M
22-12-0 (64.7%)
Margin: 7.1 ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FLA
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 15.6 ATS +/-: +1.4
TA&M Advantage
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 7.1 ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
FLA
14-20-1
O: 41.2% / U: 58.8% Total +/-: -1.9
TA&M
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2% Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TA&M
FLA
TA&M
FLA
ML
67% 20-10
77% 27-8
54% 15-13
63% 22-13
ATS
67% 20-10
69% 24-11
54% 15-13
63% 22-13
TTL
70% 21-9
63% 22-13
100% 28-0
100% 35-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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