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MIAMI

HURRICANESMIA

17-5  |  Road

74
FINAL
Sat, Feb 7 • 2:00 PM ET
Conte Forum
View Odds Details →

BOSTON COLLEGE

EAGLESBC

9-13  |  Home

68
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
0%
📊
EAGLES
100%
HURRICANES --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
186.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-50.0
MIAMI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +50.0 points (Miami)
HurricanesMIA (-3.5) 0 EaglesBC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hurricanes Cover

100.0%

Eagles Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIA -50.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIA)

MIA By 1-7 points

0.0%

MIA By 8-14 points

0.0%

BC By 1-7 points

0.0%

BC By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
118
MIAMI
68
BOSTON COLLEGE
Simulated Score
68
MIAMI
75
BOSTON COLLEGE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Hurricanes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Hurricanes (+8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -50.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o141.5 Win
Proj Total: 186.0
D
Sim u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 28, 2026 BC @ MIA 54 - 76
Feb 7, 2026 MIA @ BC 74 - 68
Jan 1, 2025 MIA @ BC 68 - 78
Mar 12, 2024 MIA @ BC 65 - 81
Mar 6, 2024 BC @ MIA 67 - 57
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +35.4% more
Miami: 5.7 vs Boston College: 3.7
Assists (L5) +27.0% more
Miami: 15.0 vs Boston College: 10.9
Blocks (L5) +20.7% more
Miami: 3.8 vs Boston College: 3.0
Free Throw % (L5) +16.0%
Miami: 70.9% vs Boston College: 54.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIA Score 118.0 74
BC Score 68.0 68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.8 / 36.0 32.0 / 33.0
Assists 10.9 / 15.0 11.0 / 13.0
Blocks 3.0 / 3.8 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 41.6 / 51.9 40.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 54.9 / 70.9 70.0 / 52.0
Rebounding 33.2 / 35.0 31.0 / 42.0
Steals 3.7 / 5.7 7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 10.7 / 10.4 7.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
99%TICKETS1%
95%MONEY5%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
70%MONEY30%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
59%MONEY41%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIA Advantage
26-9-0 (74.3%)
Margin: 10.3 ATS +/-: +1.3
BC
11-20-0 (35.5%)
Margin: -3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIA Advantage
18-15-1 (54.6%)
Margin: 10.3 ATS +/-: +1.3
BC
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
MIA
21-12-1
O: 63.6% / U: 36.4% Total +/-: +0.4
BC
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3% Total +/-: -3.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BC
MIA
BC
MIA
ML
61% 19-12
63% 22-13
61% 17-11
64% 21-12
ATS
73% 22-8-1
63% 22-13
61% 17-11
64% 21-12
TTL
61% 19-12
63% 22-13
100% 28-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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