Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bonnies @ Rams SBU @ FOR

ST. BONAVENTURE

BONNIESSBU

13-10  |  Road

70
FINAL
Sat, Feb 7 • 2:00 PM ET
Rose Hill Gym
View Odds Details →

FORDHAM

RAMSFOR

12-11  |  Home

67
AI Model Win Probability
BONNIES
100%
📊
RAMS
0%
BONNIES --
RAMS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
181.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
FORDHAM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Fordham)
BonniesSBU (-3.5) 0 RamsFOR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bonnies Cover

18.4%

Rams Cover

81.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FOR -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FOR)

SBU By 1-7 points

12.2%

SBU By 8-14 points

4.0%

FOR By 1-7 points

24.3%

FOR By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
86
ST. BONAVENTURE
95
FORDHAM
Simulated Score
71
ST. BONAVENTURE
68
FORDHAM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Rams Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bonnies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Rams (-1) Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Bonnies (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o140.0 Loss
Proj Total: 181.0
D
Sim u140.0 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 7, 2026 SBU @ FOR 70 - 67
Jan 10, 2026 FOR @ SBU 81 - 77
Feb 1, 2025 FOR @ SBU 72 - 74
Jan 4, 2025 SBU @ FOR 86 - 66
Feb 14, 2024 SBU @ FOR 85 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +19.7% more
Fordham: 36.6 vs St. Bonaventure: 30.6
Steals (L5) +8.2% more
Fordham: 8.0 vs St. Bonaventure: 7.4
Free Throw % (L5) +3.6%
Fordham: 77.6% vs St. Bonaventure: 74.0%
Blocks (L5) +17.5% more
St. Bonaventure: 3.9 vs Fordham: 3.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SBU Score 86.0 70
FOR Score 95.0 67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 26.8 / 33.8 35.0 / 54.0
Assists 12.9 / 14.3 18.0 / 17.0
Blocks 3.2 / 3.9 1.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 41.3 / 48.8 44.0 / 58.0
Free Throw % 77.6 / 74.0 71.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 36.6 / 30.6 25.0 / 30.0
Steals 8.0 / 7.4 11.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 10.9 / 11.2 12.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
21%MONEY79%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
40%MONEY60%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
1%MONEY99%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SBU
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: -2.3
FOR Advantage
17-15-0 (53.1%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SBU
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: -2.3
FOR Advantage
16-12-1 (57.1%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
SBU
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4% Total +/-: +5.1
FOR
7-22-0
O: 24.1% / U: 75.9% Total +/-: -6.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FOR
SBU
FOR
SBU
ML
59% 19-13
59% 20-14
59% 19-13
61% 20-13
ATS
59% 19-13
50% 17-17
59% 19-13
61% 20-13
TTL
59% 19-13
38% 13-21
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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