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GEORGE WASHINGTON

REVOLUTIONARIESGW

13-10  |  Road

86
FINAL
Sat, Feb 7 • 2:00 PM ET
UPMC Cooper Fieldhouse
View Odds Details →

DUQUESNE

DUKESDUQ

13-10  |  Home

88
AI Model Win Probability
REVOLUTIONARIES
100%
📊
DUKES
0%
REVOLUTIONARIES --
DUKES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
196.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
DUQUESNE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Duquesne)
RevolutionariesGW (-3.5) 0 DukesDUQ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Revolutionaries Cover

1.4%

Dukes Cover

98.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DUQ -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DUQ)

GW By 1-7 points

1.1%

GW By 8-14 points

0.1%

DUQ By 1-7 points

5.8%

DUQ By 8-14 points

15.3%

AI Model Projected Score
87
GEORGE WASHINGTON
109
DUQUESNE
Simulated Score
70
GEORGE WASHINGTON
78
DUQUESNE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Dukes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Dukes Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Dukes (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim Dukes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o158.5 Win
Proj Total: 196.0
D
Sim u158.5 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 7, 2026 GW @ DUQ 86 - 88
Jan 15, 2025 DUQ @ GW 73 - 65
Mar 9, 2024 GW @ DUQ 65 - 67
Feb 4, 2023 DUQ @ GW 93 - 67
Mar 2, 2022 DUQ @ GW 93 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +39.8% more
Duquesne: 9.1 vs George Washington: 6.5
Free Throw % (L5) +6.4%
Duquesne: 74.9% vs George Washington: 68.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.6%
Duquesne: 37.1% vs George Washington: 33.5%
Field Goal % (L5) +3.1%
Duquesne: 43.5% vs George Washington: 40.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GW Score 87.0 86
DUQ Score 109.0 88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.1 / 33.5 33.0 / 37.0
Assists 13.4 / 14.1 12.0 / 18.0
Blocks 2.5 / 2.8 0.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 43.5 / 40.4 48.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 74.9 / 68.5 77.0 / 89.0
Rebounding 34.6 / 36.0 27.0 / 40.0
Steals 9.1 / 6.5 8.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 11.3 / 12.9 4.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
70%MONEY30%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
59%MONEY41%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
54%MONEY46%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GW
19-16-0 (54.3%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
DUQ Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GW
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
DUQ Advantage
14-16-1 (46.7%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
GW
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -0.4
DUQ
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DUQ
GW
DUQ
GW
ML
53% 17-15
63% 22-13
58% 18-13
60% 21-14
ATS
69% 22-10
69% 24-11
58% 18-13
60% 21-14
TTL
50% 16-16
60% 21-14
100% 31-0
100% 35-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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