Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / RedHawks @ Thundering Herd M-OH @ MRSH

MIAMI (OH)

REDHAWKSM-OH

23-0  |  Road

90
FINAL
Sat, Feb 7 • 4:00 PM ET
Cam Henderson Center
View Odds Details →

MARSHALL

THUNDERING HERDMRSH

15-8  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
REDHAWKS
100%
📊
THUNDERING HERD
0%
REDHAWKS --
THUNDERING HERD --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
MARSHALL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (Marshall)
RedHawksM-OH (-3.5) 0 Thundering HerdMRSH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

RedHawks Cover

0.0%

Thundering Herd Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MRSH -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MRSH)

M-OH By 1-7 points

0.0%

M-OH By 8-14 points

0.0%

MRSH By 1-7 points

0.5%

MRSH By 8-14 points

2.7%

AI Model Projected Score
54
MIAMI (OH)
87
MARSHALL
Simulated Score
69
MIAMI (OH)
76
MARSHALL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Thundering Herd Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Thundering Herd Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Thundering Herd (+2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim Thundering Herd (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u163.5 Loss
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim u163.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 7, 2026 M-OH @ MRSH 90 - 74
Dec 2, 2023 M-OH @ MRSH 79 - 74
Nov 17, 2022 MRSH @ M-OH 95 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +56.7% more
Marshall: 5.4 vs Miami (OH): 3.4
Rebounding (L5) +9.1% more
Marshall: 35.5 vs Miami (OH): 32.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.4%
Marshall: 36.3% vs Miami (OH): 30.9%
Free Throw % (L5) +3.7%
Marshall: 70.9% vs Miami (OH): 67.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
M-OH Score 54.0 90
MRSH Score 87.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.3 / 30.9 28.0 / 44.0
Assists 17.1 / 16.0 13.0 / 15.0
Blocks 5.4 / 3.4 1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 48.6 / 52.3 40.0 / 56.0
Free Throw % 70.9 / 67.1 59.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 35.5 / 32.5 35.0 / 40.0
Steals 6.2 / 9.6 9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.8 / 10.4 11.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
87%TICKETS13%
77%MONEY23%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
83%TICKETS17%
80%MONEY20%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
78%MONEY22%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
M-OH Advantage
32-2-0 (94.1%)
Margin: 14.1 ATS +/-: +3.2
MRSH
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
M-OH Advantage
20-11-0 (64.5%)
Margin: 14.1 ATS +/-: +3.2
MRSH
10-20-1 (33.3%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
M-OH
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5% Total +/-: +5.6
MRSH
19-11-1
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7% Total +/-: +4.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MRSH
M-OH
MRSH
M-OH
ML
70% 21-9
45% 15-18
62% 18-11
41% 13-19
ATS
70% 21-9
61% 20-13
62% 18-11
41% 13-19
TTL
50% 15-15
61% 20-13
100% 29-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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