UTAH STATE
AGGIESUSU
19-3 | Road
85
WYOMING
COWBOYSWYO
13-10 | Home
83
AI Model Win Probability
AGGIES
100%
COWBOYS
0%
AGGIES
--
COWBOYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-25.0
WYOMING
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +25.0 points (Wyoming)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WYO -25.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WYO)
USU By 1-7 points
0.5%
USU By 8-14 points
0.1%
WYO By 1-7 points
3.3%
WYO By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah State
66
UTAH STATE
Wyoming
91
WYOMING
Simulated Score
Utah State
65
UTAH STATE
Wyoming
78
WYOMING
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cowboys
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cowboys
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cowboys (+8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Sim
Cowboys (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o145.5
Win
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
USU @ WYO
85 - 83
Jan 28, 2026
WYO @ USU
62 - 94
Feb 4, 2025
USU @ WYO
71 - 67
Dec 4, 2024
WYO @ USU
67 - 70
Feb 14, 2024
USU @ WYO
84 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.4%
Wyoming: 76.7%
vs
Utah State: 67.3%
Steals (L5)
+41.7% more
Utah State: 8.5
vs
Wyoming: 5.0
Assists (L5)
+35.3% more
Utah State: 17.9
vs
Wyoming: 11.6
Blocks (L5)
+15.1% more
Utah State: 3.0
vs
Wyoming: 2.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
USU Score
66.0
85
WYO Score
91.0
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.9 / 31.3
39.0 / 50.0
Assists
11.6 / 17.9
17.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.5 / 3.0
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
38.2 / 48.0
45.0 / 64.0
Free Throw %
76.7 / 67.3
88.0 / 72.0
Rebounding
32.7 / 37.1
27.0 / 28.0
Steals
5.0 / 8.5
9.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
12.2 / 11.5
7.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
USU
Advantage
29-7-0
(80.6%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: +1.2
WYO
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
USU
16-19-0
(45.7%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: +1.2
WYO
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
USU
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +1.9
WYO
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WYO
USU
WYO
USU
ML
52%
17-16
49%
17-18
70%
23-10
66%
21-11
ATS
64%
21-12
74%
26-9
70%
23-10
67%
22-11
TTL
64%
21-12
51%
18-17
100%
33-0
100%
33-0
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