ROBERT MORRIS
COLONIALSRMU
15-10 | Road
72
YOUNGSTOWN STATE
PENGUINSYSU
12-12 | Home
66
AI Model Win Probability
COLONIALS
100%
PENGUINS
0%
COLONIALS
--
PENGUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
YOUNGSTOWN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Youngstown State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around YSU -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (YSU)
RMU By 1-7 points
2.7%
RMU By 8-14 points
0.5%
YSU By 1-7 points
10.7%
YSU By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Robert Morris
62
ROBERT MORRIS
Youngstown State
80
YOUNGSTOWN STATE
Simulated Score
Robert Morris
68
ROBERT MORRIS
Youngstown State
78
YOUNGSTOWN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Penguins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Penguins
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Penguins (-3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Penguins (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 4, 2026
YSU @ RMU
53 - 68
Feb 7, 2026
RMU @ YSU
72 - 66
Dec 17, 2025
YSU @ RMU
77 - 80
Mar 11, 2025
YSU @ RMU
78 - 89
Jan 22, 2025
RMU @ YSU
72 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+32.0% more
Youngstown State: 6.4
vs
Robert Morris: 4.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+14.7%
Youngstown State: 76.1%
vs
Robert Morris: 61.5%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.4%
Youngstown State: 52.5%
vs
Robert Morris: 48.1%
Assists (L5)
+19.3% more
Robert Morris: 18.4
vs
Youngstown State: 14.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RMU Score
62.0
72
YSU Score
80.0
66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.8 / 42.3
26.0 / 38.0
Assists
14.8 / 18.4
14.0 / 14.0
Blocks
3.7 / 4.5
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
52.5 / 48.1
47.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
76.1 / 61.5
75.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
32.5 / 37.1
25.0 / 36.0
Steals
6.4 / 4.9
8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
13.3 / 12.9
12.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RMU
Advantage
22-11-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: +2.5
YSU
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RMU
Advantage
19-11-1
(63.3%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: +2.5
YSU
10-18-1
(35.7%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
RMU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +1.1
YSU
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
YSU
RMU
YSU
RMU
ML
57%
17-13
36%
12-21
67%
20-10
56%
18-14
ATS
47%
14-16
55%
18-15
67%
20-10
56%
18-14
TTL
60%
18-12
55%
18-15
100%
30-0
100%
32-0
