SOUTH DAKOTA
COYOTESSDAK
13-12 | Road
68
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
JACKRABBITSSDST
11-13 | Home
67
AI Model Win Probability
COYOTES
100%
JACKRABBITS
0%
COYOTES
--
JACKRABBITS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
162.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-40.0
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +40.0 points (South Dakota State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SDST -40.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SDST)
SDAK By 1-7 points
0.0%
SDAK By 8-14 points
0.0%
SDST By 1-7 points
0.1%
SDST By 8-14 points
0.5%
AI Model Projected Score
South Dakota
61
SOUTH DAKOTA
South Dakota State
101
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
Simulated Score
South Dakota
69
SOUTH DAKOTA
South Dakota State
77
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Jackrabbits
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jackrabbits
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jackrabbits (-10.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -40.0
D
Sim
Jackrabbits (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o157.5
Loss
Proj Total: 162.0
D
Sim
u157.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
SDST @ SDAK
70 - 75
Feb 7, 2026
SDAK @ SDST
68 - 67
Feb 16, 2025
SDST @ SDAK
94 - 91
Jan 25, 2025
SDAK @ SDST
71 - 90
Feb 4, 2024
SDAK @ SDST
67 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+27.0% more
South Dakota State: 2.5
vs
South Dakota: 2.0
Assists (L5)
+20.8% more
South Dakota State: 15.4
vs
South Dakota: 12.7
Rebounding (L5)
+18.2% more
South Dakota State: 37.9
vs
South Dakota: 32.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.2%
South Dakota State: 48.0%
vs
South Dakota: 43.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SDAK Score
61.0
68
SDST Score
101.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.2 / 30.4
43.0 / 34.0
Assists
15.4 / 12.7
9.0 / 13.0
Blocks
2.5 / 2.0
1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
48.0 / 43.7
45.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
65.7 / 79.6
82.0 / 62.0
Rebounding
37.9 / 32.1
35.0 / 35.0
Steals
5.2 / 7.7
4.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.3 / 10.6
10.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SDAK
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: +0.7
SDST
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 2.6
ATS +/-: -1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SDAK
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: +0.7
SDST
12-16-1
(42.9%)
Margin: 2.6
ATS +/-: -1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
SDAK
12-17-0
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6%
Total +/-: -1.1
SDST
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SDST
SDAK
SDST
SDAK
ML
75%
24-8
70%
21-9
53%
17-15
63%
19-11
ATS
78%
25-7
70%
21-9
53%
17-15
63%
19-11
TTL
53%
17-15
67%
20-10
100%
32-0
100%
30-0
Contextual Game News
