Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Cardinals @ Demon Deacons LOU @ WAKE

LOUISVILLE

CARDINALSLOU

16-6  |  Road

88
FINAL
Sat, Feb 7 • 12:00 PM ET
LJVM Coliseum
View Odds Details →

WAKE FOREST

DEMON DEACONSWAKE

11-11  |  Home

80
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINALS
0%
📊
DEMON DEACONS
100%
CARDINALS --
DEMON DEACONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
179.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
WAKE FOREST
Book Spread
--
Book Line
CardinalsLOU (-3.5) 0 Demon DeaconsWAKE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cardinals Cover

38.2%

Demon Deacons Cover

61.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WAKE +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WAKE)

LOU By 1-7 points

27.2%

LOU By 8-14 points

20.1%

WAKE By 1-7 points

21.6%

WAKE By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
91
LOUISVILLE
88
WAKE FOREST
Simulated Score
67
LOUISVILLE
80
WAKE FOREST
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cardinals Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Demon Deacons Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Demon Deacons (+9.5) Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim Demon Deacons (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o160.5 Win
Proj Total: 179.0
D
Sim u160.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 7, 2026 LOU @ WAKE 88 - 80
Jan 28, 2025 WAKE @ LOU 59 - 72
Jan 20, 2024 LOU @ WAKE 65 - 90
Jan 7, 2023 WAKE @ LOU 80 - 72
Feb 26, 2022 LOU @ WAKE 77 - 99
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +33.2% more
Louisville: 17.5 vs Wake Forest: 11.7
Rebounding (L5) +25.6% more
Louisville: 38.8 vs Wake Forest: 28.9
Turnovers (L5) +11.9% more
Louisville: 11.7 vs Wake Forest: 10.3
Free Throw % (L5) +8.5%
Wake Forest: 81.4% vs Louisville: 72.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LOU Score 91.0 88
WAKE Score 88.0 80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.4 / 30.0 32.0 / 40.0
Assists 11.7 / 17.5 17.0 / 19.0
Blocks 3.1 / 3.2 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 45.1 / 44.0 43.0 / 53.0
Free Throw % 81.4 / 72.9 72.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 28.9 / 38.8 32.0 / 32.0
Steals 6.6 / 6.9 8.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 10.3 / 11.7 6.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
92%TICKETS8%
72%MONEY28%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
72%MONEY28%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
67%MONEY33%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LOU Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 11.7 ATS +/-: +0.3
WAKE
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LOU Advantage
17-18-0 (48.6%)
Margin: 11.7 ATS +/-: +0.3
WAKE
16-18-1 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
LOU
15-20-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1% Total +/-: -3.6
WAKE
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WAKE
LOU
WAKE
LOU
ML
49% 17-18
63% 22-13
61% 20-13
71% 24-10
ATS
66% 23-12
71% 25-10
61% 20-13
71% 24-10
TTL
60% 21-14
63% 22-13
100% 33-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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