ALABAMA A&M
BULLDOGSAAMU
12-10 | Road
68
SOUTHERN
JAGUARSSOU
9-13 | Home
81
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
0%
JAGUARS
100%
BULLDOGS
--
JAGUARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
ALABAMA A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Alabama A&M)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around AAMU -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AAMU)
AAMU By 1-7 points
10.7%
AAMU By 8-14 points
21.6%
SOU By 1-7 points
2.7%
SOU By 8-14 points
0.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Alabama A&M
82
ALABAMA A&M
Southern
64
SOUTHERN
Simulated Score
Alabama A&M
65
ALABAMA A&M
Southern
72
SOUTHERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bulldogs
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jaguars
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bulldogs (-6.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Jaguars (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o144.0
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim
u144.0
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 5, 2026
SOU @ AAMU
88 - 85
Feb 7, 2026
AAMU @ SOU
68 - 81
Mar 8, 2025
AAMU @ SOU
57 - 71
Feb 8, 2025
SOU @ AAMU
81 - 68
Mar 9, 2024
SOU @ AAMU
56 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+10.2%
Alabama A&M: 80.3%
vs
Southern: 70.1%
Turnovers (L5)
+8.1% more
Alabama A&M: 11.6
vs
Southern: 10.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.1%
Alabama A&M: 31.4%
vs
Southern: 29.3%
Blocks (L5)
+67.6% more
Southern: 5.3
vs
Alabama A&M: 3.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
AAMU Score
82.0
68
SOU Score
64.0
81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.3 / 31.4
35.0 / 50.0
Assists
16.4 / 9.9
21.0 / 17.0
Blocks
5.3 / 3.2
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.2 / 41.6
48.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
70.1 / 80.3
76.0 / 66.0
Rebounding
37.4 / 35.3
36.0 / 25.0
Steals
8.7 / 6.5
5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
10.7 / 11.6
9.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AAMU
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: -0.1
SOU
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.7
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AAMU
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: -0.1
SOU
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 1.7
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
AAMU
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.3
SOU
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5%
Total +/-: +4.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SOU
AAMU
SOU
AAMU
ML
67%
22-11
55%
16-13
70%
21-9
67%
16-8
ATS
64%
21-12
55%
16-13
70%
21-9
67%
16-8
TTL
42%
14-19
66%
19-10
100%
30-0
100%
24-0
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