STETSON
HATTERSSTET
8-16 | Road
88
EASTERN KENTUCKY
COLONELSEKU
8-16 | Home
100
AI Model Win Probability
HATTERS
0%
COLONELS
100%
HATTERS
--
COLONELS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-41.0
STETSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +41.0 points (Stetson)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around STET -41.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STET)
STET By 1-7 points
0.0%
STET By 8-14 points
0.4%
EKU By 1-7 points
0.0%
EKU By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Stetson
98
STETSON
Eastern Kentucky
57
EASTERN KENTUCKY
Simulated Score
Stetson
74
STETSON
Eastern Kentucky
78
EASTERN KENTUCKY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hatters
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Colonels
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hatters (-8.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -41.0
D
Sim
Colonels (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o151.5
Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 4, 2026
STET @ EKU
92 - 76
Feb 7, 2026
STET @ EKU
88 - 100
Feb 8, 2025
EKU @ STET
83 - 58
Jan 23, 2025
STET @ EKU
67 - 66
Feb 10, 2024
EKU @ STET
79 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+16.5% more
Stetson: 17.7
vs
Eastern Kentucky: 14.8
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.0%
Stetson: 44.4%
vs
Eastern Kentucky: 42.4%
Blocks (L5)
+122.6% more
Eastern Kentucky: 2.6
vs
Stetson: 1.2
Steals (L5)
+55.9% more
Eastern Kentucky: 8.0
vs
Stetson: 5.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STET Score
98.0
88
EKU Score
57.0
100
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.5 / 35.8
34.0 / 48.0
Assists
14.8 / 17.7
21.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.6 / 1.2
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
42.4 / 44.4
54.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
75.0 / 74.4
85.0 / 85.0
Rebounding
36.6 / 31.6
34.0 / 30.0
Steals
8.0 / 5.1
7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.8 / 11.1
7.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STET
Advantage
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: +2.0
EKU
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -3.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STET
Advantage
18-13-0
(58.1%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: +2.0
EKU
10-19-1
(34.5%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -3.7
⚖️ Over/Under
STET
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: +1.6
EKU
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7%
Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EKU
STET
EKU
STET
ML
44%
14-18
55%
18-15
69%
22-10
73%
24-9
ATS
56%
18-14
64%
21-12
69%
22-10
73%
24-9
TTL
53%
17-15
61%
20-13
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
