HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
HUSKIESHCU
8-15 | Road
47
SE LOUISIANA
LIONSSELA
6-17 | Home
55
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
100%
LIONS
0%
HUSKIES
--
LIONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
SE LOUISIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (SE Louisiana)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SELA -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SELA)
HCU By 1-7 points
2.7%
HCU By 8-14 points
0.5%
SELA By 1-7 points
10.7%
SELA By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Houston Christian
63
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
SE Louisiana
81
SE LOUISIANA
Simulated Score
Houston Christian
74
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
SE Louisiana
78
SE LOUISIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Lions
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Lions
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Lions (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Lions (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
HCU @ SELA
47 - 55
Dec 13, 2025
SELA @ HCU
74 - 71
Feb 10, 2025
SELA @ HCU
69 - 60
Jan 27, 2025
HCU @ SELA
70 - 62
Feb 17, 2024
HCU @ SELA
78 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+12.3% more
SE Louisiana: 12.8
vs
Houston Christian: 11.4
Blocks (L5)
+41.3% more
Houston Christian: 4.8
vs
SE Louisiana: 2.8
Assists (L5)
+26.8% more
Houston Christian: 13.9
vs
SE Louisiana: 10.2
Steals (L5)
+25.3% more
Houston Christian: 6.5
vs
SE Louisiana: 4.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HCU Score
63.0
47
SELA Score
81.0
55
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.1 / 37.0
26.0 / 19.0
Assists
10.2 / 13.9
16.0 / 7.0
Blocks
2.8 / 4.8
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
40.6 / 41.4
48.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
57.4 / 76.4
57.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
30.3 / 30.0
32.0 / 30.0
Steals
4.8 / 6.5
5.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
12.8 / 11.4
16.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HCU
Advantage
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.9
SELA
9-22-0
(29.0%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HCU
Advantage
14-15-1
(48.3%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.9
SELA
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
HCU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -0.1
SELA
13-17-0
O: 43.3% / U: 56.7%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SELA
HCU
SELA
HCU
ML
70%
21-9
68%
21-10
66%
19-10
81%
25-6
ATS
60%
18-12
58%
18-13
67%
20-10
81%
26-6
TTL
70%
21-9
68%
21-10
100%
30-0
100%
32-0
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