Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Cowboys @ Wildcats OKST @ ARIZ

OKLAHOMA STATE

COWBOYSOKST

16-6  |  Road

47
FINAL
Sat, Feb 7 • 4:00 PM ET
McKale Memorial Center
View Odds Details →

ARIZONA

WILDCATSARIZ

22-0  |  Home

84
AI Model Win Probability
COWBOYS
100%
📊
WILDCATS
0%
COWBOYS --
WILDCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
184.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-30.0
ARIZONA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +30.0 points (Arizona)
CowboysOKST (-3.5) 0 WildcatsARIZ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cowboys Cover

0.1%

Wildcats Cover

99.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ARIZ -30.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ARIZ)

OKST By 1-7 points

0.1%

OKST By 8-14 points

0.0%

ARIZ By 1-7 points

1.1%

ARIZ By 8-14 points

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
77
OKLAHOMA STATE
107
ARIZONA
Simulated Score
68
OKLAHOMA STATE
80
ARIZONA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wildcats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wildcats (-20.5) Win
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Sim Wildcats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o168.5 Loss
Proj Total: 184.0
D
Sim u168.5 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 7, 2026 OKST @ ARIZ 47 - 84
Jan 21, 2025 ARIZ @ OKST 92 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +151.5% more
Arizona: 4.9 vs Oklahoma State: 2.0
Rebounding (L5) +23.3% more
Arizona: 43.3 vs Oklahoma State: 35.1
Turnovers (L5) +10.2% more
Arizona: 11.0 vs Oklahoma State: 10.0
Free Throw % (L5) +6.1%
Arizona: 74.4% vs Oklahoma State: 68.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OKST Score 77.0 47
ARIZ Score 107.0 84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.3 / 36.1 14.0 / 21.0
Assists 16.3 / 15.6 17.0 / 10.0
Blocks 4.9 / 2.0 5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 51.3 / 47.9 52.0 / 25.0
Free Throw % 74.4 / 68.3 64.0 / 48.0
Rebounding 43.3 / 35.1 56.0 / 35.0
Steals 7.9 / 8.7 9.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 11.0 / 10.0 12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
22%MONEY78%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
51%MONEY49%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
61%MONEY39%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OKST
20-15-0 (57.1%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
ARIZ Advantage
36-3-0 (92.3%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OKST
16-19-0 (45.7%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
ARIZ Advantage
23-15-1 (60.5%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
OKST
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +2.9
ARIZ
20-19-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARIZ
OKST
ARIZ
OKST
ML
67% 26-13
60% 21-14
68% 23-11
66% 21-11
ATS
74% 29-10
57% 20-15
68% 23-11
66% 21-11
TTL
56% 22-17
57% 20-15
100% 34-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud, Admits Demanding $9,000…
bleacherreport 1 hour, 19 minutes ago
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
si 7 hours, 26 minutes ago
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
si 1 day, 7 hours ago
Kentucky's AP Poll Exit Exposes Uphill Battle for National Respe…
yahoo 3 days, 1 hour ago
Arizona's Gio Richardson Exits Cincinnati Game After Brief Retur…
headtopics 4 days, 19 hours ago