OKLAHOMA
SOONERSOU
11-12 | Road
92
VANDERBILT
COMMODORESVAN
19-3 | Home
91
AI Model Win Probability
SOONERS
0%
COMMODORES
100%
SOONERS
--
COMMODORES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
191.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+11.0
VANDERBILT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around VAN +11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)
OU By 1-7 points
21.6%
OU By 8-14 points
27.4%
VAN By 1-7 points
9.3%
VAN By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Oklahoma
101
OKLAHOMA
Vanderbilt
90
VANDERBILT
Simulated Score
Oklahoma
65
OKLAHOMA
Vanderbilt
78
VANDERBILT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Sooners
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Commodores
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Commodores (+12.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +11.0
D
Sim
Commodores (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o159.5
Win
Proj Total: 191.0
D
Sim
u159.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
OU @ VAN
92 - 91
Feb 1, 2025
VAN @ OU
67 - 97
Jan 26, 2019
VAN @ OU
55 - 86
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.8%
Oklahoma: 34.4%
vs
Vanderbilt: 31.6%
Free Throw % (L5)
+1.7%
Oklahoma: 80.1%
vs
Vanderbilt: 78.3%
Blocks (L5)
+94.7% more
Vanderbilt: 4.4
vs
Oklahoma: 2.3
Steals (L5)
+52.3% more
Vanderbilt: 7.6
vs
Oklahoma: 5.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OU Score
101.0
92
VAN Score
90.0
91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.6 / 34.4
46.0 / 43.0
Assists
14.4 / 12.6
12.0 / 12.0
Blocks
4.4 / 2.3
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
44.5 / 43.8
47.0 / 53.0
Free Throw %
78.3 / 80.1
84.0 / 72.0
Rebounding
34.6 / 30.0
32.0 / 30.0
Steals
7.6 / 5.0
7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
9.5 / 9.1
13.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OU
21-16-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: +0.9
VAN
Advantage
27-9-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OU
17-19-1
(47.2%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: +0.9
VAN
Advantage
18-18-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
OU
19-18-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: +1.8
VAN
17-19-0
O: 47.2% / U: 52.8%
Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
OU
VAN
OU
ML
69%
25-11
78%
28-8
56%
18-14
59%
20-14
ATS
78%
28-8
72%
26-10
56%
18-14
59%
20-14
TTL
58%
21-15
75%
27-9
100%
32-0
100%
34-0
Contextual Game News
.jpg)
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud, Admits Demanding $9,000…
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud in $9,000 Scheme
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
Big Ten Commissioner Tony Petitti Denies Any Expansion Talks Ami…
Aiden Tobiason Brings Sharpshooting and Playmaking to Syracuse B…