Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Buccaneers @ Spartans CHSO @ UPST

CHARLESTON SOUTHERN

BUCCANEERSCHSO

11-13  |  Road

94
FINAL
Sat, Feb 7 • 2:00 PM ET
G.B. Hodge Center
View Odds Details →

SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE

SPARTANSUPST

10-14  |  Home

100
AI Model Win Probability
BUCCANEERS
0%
📊
SPARTANS
100%
BUCCANEERS --
SPARTANS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
162.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Charleston Southern)
BuccaneersCHSO (-3.5) 0 SpartansUPST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Buccaneers Cover

96.4%

Spartans Cover

3.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHSO -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHSO)

CHSO By 1-7 points

10.7%

CHSO By 8-14 points

21.6%

UPST By 1-7 points

2.7%

UPST By 8-14 points

0.5%

AI Model Projected Score
90
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
72
SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE
Simulated Score
70
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
78
SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Buccaneers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Spartans Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Buccaneers (+5.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim Spartans (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o151.5 Win
Proj Total: 162.0
D
Sim u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 7, 2026 CHSO @ UPST 94 - 100
Jan 14, 2026 UPST @ CHSO 86 - 81
Feb 22, 2025 UPST @ CHSO 79 - 69
Jan 29, 2025 CHSO @ UPST 82 - 75
Feb 21, 2024 CHSO @ UPST 63 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +52.1% more
Charleston Southern: 5.9 vs South Carolina Upstate: 2.8
Turnovers (L5) +40.2% more
Charleston Southern: 19.9 vs South Carolina Upstate: 11.9
Assists (L5) +14.5% more
Charleston Southern: 13.7 vs South Carolina Upstate: 11.8
Rebounding (L5) +9.4% more
Charleston Southern: 37.2 vs South Carolina Upstate: 33.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHSO Score 90.0 94
UPST Score 72.0 100
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.4 / 31.0 45.0 / 32.0
Assists 11.8 / 13.7 16.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.8 / 5.9 3.0 / 11.0
Field Goal % 41.8 / 42.8 46.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 61.3 / 67.0 80.0 / 82.0
Rebounding 33.7 / 37.2 34.0 / 47.0
Steals 6.1 / 5.8 12.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 11.9 / 19.9 3.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHSO Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: +2.0
UPST
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: 0.6 ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHSO Advantage
14-15-0 (48.3%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: +2.0
UPST
13-16-0 (44.8%)
Margin: 0.6 ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
CHSO
19-10-0
O: 65.5% / U: 34.5% Total +/-: +4.6
UPST
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UPST
CHSO
UPST
CHSO
ML
61% 19-12
43% 13-17
83% 25-5
67% 20-10
ATS
61% 19-12
50% 15-15
83% 25-5
68% 21-10
TTL
52% 16-15
50% 15-15
100% 30-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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