Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Tigers @ Gamecocks MIZ @ SC

MISSOURI

TIGERSMIZ

15-7  |  Road

78
FINAL
Sat, Feb 7 • 1:00 PM ET
Colonial Life Arena
View Odds Details →

SOUTH CAROLINA

GAMECOCKSSC

11-12  |  Home

59
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
📊
GAMECOCKS
100%
TIGERS --
GAMECOCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
MISSOURI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Missouri)
TigersMIZ (-3.5) 0 GamecocksSC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

78.8%

Gamecocks Cover

21.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIZ -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIZ)

MIZ By 1-7 points

25.3%

MIZ By 8-14 points

26.2%

SC By 1-7 points

13.7%

SC By 8-14 points

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
78
MISSOURI
70
SOUTH CAROLINA
Simulated Score
68
MISSOURI
72
SOUTH CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Tigers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Gamecocks Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Tigers (+3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Gamecocks (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o146.5 Loss
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 7, 2026 MIZ @ SC 78 - 59
Feb 25, 2025 SC @ MIZ 71 - 101
Jan 27, 2024 MIZ @ SC 64 - 72
Jan 13, 2024 SC @ MIZ 71 - 69
Feb 7, 2023 SC @ MIZ 74 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +43.4% more
Missouri: 4.4 vs South Carolina: 2.5
Rebounding (L5) +22.8% more
Missouri: 38.0 vs South Carolina: 29.3
Assists (L5) +18.1% more
Missouri: 12.7 vs South Carolina: 10.4
Turnovers (L5) +17.8% more
Missouri: 11.6 vs South Carolina: 9.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIZ Score 78.0 78
SC Score 70.0 59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.3 / 30.1 14.0 / 37.0
Assists 10.4 / 12.7 8.0 / 16.0
Blocks 2.5 / 4.4 2.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 42.4 / 43.1 31.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 79.9 / 66.7 81.0 / 70.0
Rebounding 29.3 / 38.0 28.0 / 44.0
Steals 6.6 / 4.6 7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 9.5 / 11.6 8.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
78%MONEY22%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
73%MONEY27%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
82%MONEY18%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIZ Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 3.8 ATS +/-: -2.3
SC
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIZ
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: 3.8 ATS +/-: -2.3
SC Advantage
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
MIZ
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.3
SC
14-16-2
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SC
MIZ
SC
MIZ
ML
72% 23-9
61% 20-13
68% 21-10
69% 22-10
ATS
69% 22-10
70% 23-10
68% 21-10
69% 22-10
TTL
50% 16-16
79% 26-7
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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