NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
33-18 | Road
80
DETROIT
PISTONSDET
37-13 | Home
118
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
100%
PISTONS
0%
KNICKS
--
PISTONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
238.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DET -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
NY By 1-7 points
8.0%
NY By 8-14 points
2.2%
DET By 1-7 points
20.1%
DET By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
113
NEW YORK
Detroit
125
DETROIT
Simulated Score
New York
98
NEW YORK
Detroit
110
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pistons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pistons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pistons (-5)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Pistons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o220.5
Loss
Proj Total: 238.0
D
Sim
u220.5
Win
Proj Total: 208.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 19, 2026
DET @ NY
126 - 111
Feb 6, 2026
NY @ DET
80 - 118
Jan 5, 2026
NY @ DET
90 - 121
May 1, 2025
NY @ DET
116 - 113
Apr 29, 2025
DET @ NY
106 - 103
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+75.5% more
Detroit: 11.5
vs
New York: 6.6
Blocks (L5)
+43.1% more
Detroit: 4.6
vs
New York: 3.2
Assists (L5)
+10.8% more
New York: 29.6
vs
Detroit: 26.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.1%
New York: 40.2%
vs
Detroit: 33.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NY Score
113.0
80
DET Score
125.0
118
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.1 / 40.2
43.0 / 24.0
Assists
26.4 / 29.6
31.0 / 22.0
Blocks
4.6 / 3.2
6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
48.1 / 49.3
53.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
80.3 / 79.8
87.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
44.8 / 47.7
44.0 / 35.0
Steals
11.5 / 6.6
10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.2 / 12.1
13.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
DET
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
NY
DET
NY
ML
55%
64-53
61%
114-72
49%
47-49
56%
57-45
ATS
53%
60-54-3
67%
124-62
49%
47-49
56%
57-45
TTL
60%
70-46-1
72%
133-53
100%
96-0
100%
102-0
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