LA
CLIPPERSLAC
23-27 | Road
114
SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
12-40 | Home
111
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
100%
KINGS
0%
CLIPPERS
--
KINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
213.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SACRAMENTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Sacramento)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SAC -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SAC)
LAC By 1-7 points
24.3%
LAC By 8-14 points
13.7%
SAC By 1-7 points
26.2%
SAC By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
106
LA
Sacramento
107
SACRAMENTO
Simulated Score
LA
112
LA
Sacramento
118
SACRAMENTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Kings
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Kings
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Kings (+3)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Kings (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u222.5
Loss
Proj Total: 213.0
D
Sim
u222.5
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 5, 2026
LAC @ SAC
138 - 109
Mar 14, 2026
SAC @ LAC
118 - 109
Feb 6, 2026
LAC @ SAC
114 - 111
Dec 30, 2025
SAC @ LAC
90 - 131
Oct 15, 2025
LAC @ SAC
109 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+42.5% more
Sacramento: 4.6
vs
LA: 3.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.1%
Sacramento: 86.2%
vs
LA: 77.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.0%
Sacramento: 33.5%
vs
LA: 31.6%
Turnovers (L5)
+15.3% more
LA: 17.4
vs
Sacramento: 14.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
106.0
114
SAC Score
107.0
111
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.5 / 31.6
27.0 / 43.0
Assists
24.1 / 23.2
22.0 / 22.0
Blocks
4.6 / 3.2
6.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
44.8 / 50.5
45.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
86.2 / 77.1
86.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
43.3 / 41.6
42.0 / 40.0
Steals
5.9 / 5.8
10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
14.7 / 17.4
11.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
SAC
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
SAC
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SAC
LAC
SAC
LAC
ML
55%
55-45
60%
59-40
61%
50-32
55%
45-37
ATS
54%
52-45-3
66%
65-33-1
61%
50-32
55%
45-37
TTL
58%
57-42-1
59%
58-40-1
100%
82-0
100%
82-0
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