AI Model Win Probability
RAMBLERS
0%
WILDCATS
100%
RAMBLERS
--
WILDCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
179.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Loyola Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LUC -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LUC)
LUC By 1-7 points
15.3%
LUC By 8-14 points
25.3%
DAV By 1-7 points
4.8%
DAV By 8-14 points
1.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Loyola Chicago
97
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Davidson
82
DAVIDSON
Simulated Score
Loyola Chicago
68
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Davidson
72
DAVIDSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Ramblers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wildcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Ramblers (-9.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Wildcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o140.5
Win
Proj Total: 179.0
D
Sim
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 12, 2026
LUC @ DAV
59 - 64
Feb 6, 2026
LUC @ DAV
64 - 84
Jan 7, 2026
DAV @ LUC
79 - 64
Mar 5, 2025
DAV @ LUC
72 - 82
Feb 18, 2025
LUC @ DAV
77 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+30.0% more
Loyola Chicago: 12.9
vs
Davidson: 9.0
Rebounding (L5)
+11.4% more
Loyola Chicago: 35.5
vs
Davidson: 31.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+1.7%
Loyola Chicago: 65.9%
vs
Davidson: 64.3%
Steals (L5)
+87.3% more
Davidson: 6.9
vs
Loyola Chicago: 3.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LUC Score
97.0
64
DAV Score
82.0
84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.3 / 31.1
46.0 / 38.0
Assists
13.6 / 14.0
16.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.7 / 3.4
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.1 / 42.4
56.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
64.3 / 65.9
80.0 / 57.0
Rebounding
31.4 / 35.5
26.0 / 28.0
Steals
6.9 / 3.7
8.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
9.0 / 12.9
9.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LUC
9-24-0
(27.3%)
Margin: -9.0
ATS +/-: -4.7
DAV
Advantage
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 4.1
ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LUC
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: -9.0
ATS +/-: -4.7
DAV
Advantage
13-17-2
(43.3%)
Margin: 4.1
ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
LUC
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6%
Total +/-: -1.9
DAV
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAV
LUC
DAV
LUC
ML
64%
21-12
55%
18-15
58%
19-14
50%
16-16
ATS
48%
16-17
64%
21-12
58%
19-14
50%
16-16
TTL
52%
17-16
76%
25-8
100%
33-0
100%
32-0