NEW HAVEN
CHARGERSNHVN
10-12 | Road
55
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
SHARKSLIU
14-8 | Home
60
AI Model Win Probability
CHARGERS
100%
SHARKS
0%
CHARGERS
--
SHARKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
159.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Long Island University)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LIU -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIU)
NHVN By 1-7 points
12.2%
NHVN By 8-14 points
4.0%
LIU By 1-7 points
24.3%
LIU By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
New Haven
75
NEW HAVEN
Long Island University
84
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
New Haven
68
NEW HAVEN
Long Island University
75
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Sharks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sharks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sharks (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Sharks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o135.5
Loss
Proj Total: 159.0
D
Sim
u135.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
LIU @ NHVN
52 - 55
Feb 5, 2026
NHVN @ LIU
55 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+347.3% more
Long Island University: 5.9
vs
New Haven: 1.3
Steals (L5)
+85.8% more
Long Island University: 7.8
vs
New Haven: 4.2
Rebounding (L5)
+20.5% more
Long Island University: 37.5
vs
New Haven: 31.1
Assists (L5)
+12.5% more
Long Island University: 14.8
vs
New Haven: 13.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NHVN Score
75.0
55
LIU Score
84.0
60
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.6 / 31.9
26.0 / 14.0
Assists
14.8 / 13.2
12.0 / 7.0
Blocks
5.9 / 1.3
6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.9 / 46.6
39.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
69.7 / 73.7
77.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
37.5 / 31.1
39.0 / 27.0
Steals
7.8 / 4.2
6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
11.3 / 11.2
13.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NHVN
Advantage
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: +1.3
LIU
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NHVN
Advantage
15-13-0
(53.6%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: +1.3
LIU
--
⚖️ Over/Under
NHVN
8-20-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4%
Total +/-: -3.5
LIU
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LIU
NHVN
LIU
NHVN
ML
60%
21-14
71%
22-9
69%
24-11
68%
21-10
ATS
63%
22-13
74%
23-8
69%
24-11
68%
21-10
TTL
60%
21-14
42%
13-18
100%
35-0
100%
31-0
