NASHVILLE
PREDATORSNSH
26-23-7 | Road
2
WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
28-23-7 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Justus Annunen
#29 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Logan Thompson
#48 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justus Annunen | None-None | 4.23 | 0.867 | -- |
| Logan Thompson | None-None | 2.02 | 0.931 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.23
GAA
Ldr 2.02
0.867
Save %
Ldr 0.931
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PREDATORS
0%
CAPITALS
100%
PREDATORS
--
CAPITALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
NASHVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Nashville)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around NSH -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NSH)
NSH By 1 goal
17.5%
NSH By 2-3 goals
37.2%
WSH By 1 goal
6.6%
WSH By 2-3 goals
3.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Nashville
3
NASHVILLE
Washington
1
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Nashville
2
NASHVILLE
Washington
3
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Predators
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Capitals
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Predators (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Capitals (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 5, 2026
NSH @ WSH
2 - 4
Jan 11, 2026
WSH @ NSH
2 - 3
Jan 11, 2025
WSH @ NSH
4 - 1
Nov 6, 2024
NSH @ WSH
2 - 3
Dec 30, 2023
NSH @ WSH
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+42.3%
Nashville: 46.5%
vs
Washington: 4.2%
Takeaways (L5)
+23.3% more
Nashville: 5.4
vs
Washington: 4.1
Shots on Goal (L5)
+13.2% more
Nashville: 32.8
vs
Washington: 28.4
Hits (L5)
+37.7% more
Washington: 24.2
vs
Nashville: 17.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NSH Score
3.0
2
WSH Score
1.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.1 / 12.4
18.0 / 8.0
Faceoff %
51.1 / 51.6
48.1 / 51.9
Hits
24.2 / 17.6
26.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
4.2 / 46.5
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.4 / 32.8
30.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
4.1 / 5.4
3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
NSH
WSH
NSH
ML
100%
3-0
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
ATS
100%
3-0
0%
0-4
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
TTL
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
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