UALBANY
GREAT DANESUALB
7-16 | Road
65
BRYANT
BULLDOGSBRY
7-15 | Home
63
AI Model Win Probability
GREAT DANES
0%
BULLDOGS
100%
GREAT DANES
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-47.0
UALBANY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +47.0 points (UAlbany)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UALB -47.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UALB)
UALB By 1-7 points
0.0%
UALB By 8-14 points
0.1%
BRY By 1-7 points
0.0%
BRY By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
UAlbany
94
UALBANY
Bryant
47
BRYANT
Simulated Score
UAlbany
70
UALBANY
Bryant
75
BRYANT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Great Danes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Great Danes (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -47.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o133.5
Loss
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim
u133.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 5, 2026
UALB @ BRY
65 - 63
Jan 10, 2026
BRY @ UALB
46 - 71
Mar 11, 2025
UALB @ BRY
78 - 91
Feb 6, 2025
UALB @ BRY
68 - 63
Jan 16, 2025
BRY @ UALB
89 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+17.8% more
UAlbany: 12.2
vs
Bryant: 10.0
Steals (L5)
+17.5% more
UAlbany: 6.3
vs
Bryant: 5.2
Assists (L5)
+11.5% more
UAlbany: 12.5
vs
Bryant: 11.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.2%
UAlbany: 43.8%
vs
Bryant: 39.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UALB Score
94.0
65
BRY Score
47.0
63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.5 / 30.3
46.0 / 40.0
Assists
11.1 / 12.5
17.0 / 15.0
Blocks
4.4 / 3.2
4.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
39.6 / 43.8
50.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
76.8 / 63.4
80.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
34.7 / 33.9
30.0 / 26.0
Steals
5.2 / 6.3
4.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
10.0 / 12.2
17.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UALB
Advantage
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
BRY
9-22-0
(29.0%)
Margin: -7.6
ATS +/-: -4.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UALB
11-18-0
(37.9%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
BRY
11-18-0
(37.9%)
Margin: -7.6
ATS +/-: -4.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UALB
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +0.3
BRY
12-17-0
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6%
Total +/-: -1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BRY
UALB
BRY
UALB
ML
70%
21-9
55%
17-14
80%
24-6
71%
22-9
ATS
73%
22-8
77%
24-7
80%
24-6
72%
23-9
TTL
67%
20-10
61%
19-12
100%
30-0
100%
32-0
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