CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
24-27 | Road
107
TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
30-22 | Home
123
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
0%
RAPTORS
100%
BULLS
--
RAPTORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
227.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TOR +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
CHI By 1-7 points
26.2%
CHI By 8-14 points
16.9%
TOR By 1-7 points
24.3%
TOR By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
114
CHICAGO
Toronto
113
TORONTO
Simulated Score
Chicago
110
CHICAGO
Toronto
115
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bulls
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Raptors
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Raptors (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim
Raptors (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u227.0
Loss
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Sim
u227.0
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 18, 2026
TOR @ CHI
139 - 109
Feb 19, 2026
TOR @ CHI
110 - 101
Feb 5, 2026
CHI @ TOR
107 - 123
Apr 1, 2025
TOR @ CHI
118 - 137
Feb 28, 2025
TOR @ CHI
115 - 125
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+21.3% more
Toronto: 8.2
vs
Chicago: 6.8
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.7%
Toronto: 47.9%
vs
Chicago: 43.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.9%
Toronto: 37.0%
vs
Chicago: 35.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
114.0
107
TOR Score
113.0
123
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.0 / 35.1
41.0 / 37.0
Assists
28.0 / 26.2
35.0 / 28.0
Blocks
6.9 / 6.8
7.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.9 / 43.2
56.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
76.9 / 76.8
85.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
42.0 / 44.9
35.0 / 38.0
Steals
8.2 / 6.8
10.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
15.2 / 15.0
12.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
TOR
Advantage
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
TOR
Advantage
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
CHI
TOR
CHI
ML
55%
57-47
56%
54-42
55%
48-39
57%
46-35
ATS
61%
62-40-2
65%
62-33-1
55%
48-39
57%
46-35
TTL
60%
62-42
58%
56-40
100%
87-0
100%
81-0
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