UTAH
JAZZUTAH
16-35 | Road
119
ATLANTA
HAWKSATL
25-27 | Home
121
AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
0%
HAWKS
100%
JAZZ
--
HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
247.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ATL +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
UTAH By 1-7 points
27.2%
UTAH By 8-14 points
20.1%
ATL By 1-7 points
21.6%
ATL By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
125
UTAH
Atlanta
122
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
Utah
113
UTAH
Atlanta
118
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jazz
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hawks (+9)
Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim
Hawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o244.0
Loss
Proj Total: 247.0
D
Sim
u244.0
Win
Proj Total: 231.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 5, 2026
UTAH @ ATL
119 - 121
Nov 13, 2025
ATL @ UTAH
132 - 122
Apr 6, 2025
UTAH @ ATL
134 - 147
Jan 7, 2025
ATL @ UTAH
124 - 121
Mar 15, 2024
ATL @ UTAH
122 - 124
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+28.7% more
Utah: 15.3
vs
Atlanta: 10.9
Blocks (L5)
+27.6% more
Utah: 4.5
vs
Atlanta: 3.2
Steals (L5)
+16.8% more
Utah: 10.4
vs
Atlanta: 8.7
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.2%
Utah: 48.6%
vs
Atlanta: 46.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score
125.0
119
ATL Score
122.0
121
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.6 / 35.6
23.0 / 40.0
Assists
28.9 / 30.9
34.0 / 19.0
Blocks
3.2 / 4.5
10.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.5 / 48.6
49.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
72.9 / 74.2
74.0 / 65.0
Rebounding
43.9 / 41.6
50.0 / 49.0
Steals
8.7 / 10.4
3.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.9 / 15.3
10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
ATL
Advantage
48-40-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
ATL
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
UTAH
ATL
UTAH
ML
50%
52-52
60%
96-63
55%
48-40
48%
40-43
ATS
53%
55-48-1
68%
108-51
55%
48-40
48%
40-43
TTL
53%
55-48-1
75%
119-39-1
100%
88-0
100%
83-0
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