NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
31-21-5 | Road
3
NEW JERSEY
DEVILSNJ
28-26-2 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jake Allen
#34 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 1.00 | 0.958 | -- |
| Jake Allen | None-None | 2.07 | 0.846 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
2.07
0.958 Ldr
Save %
0.846
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
100%
DEVILS
0%
ISLANDERS
--
DEVILS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEW JERSEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (New Jersey)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NJ -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NJ)
NYI By 1 goal
12.1%
NYI By 2-3 goals
9.3%
NJ By 1 goal
19.7%
NJ By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
New Jersey
4
NEW JERSEY
Simulated Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
New Jersey
5
NEW JERSEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Devils
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Devils
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Devils (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Devils (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 3, 2026
NJ @ NYI
0 - 6
Feb 5, 2026
NYI @ NJ
3 - 1
Jan 6, 2026
NJ @ NYI
0 - 9
Dec 23, 2025
NJ @ NYI
1 - 2
Nov 10, 2025
NYI @ NJ
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+21.7% more
New Jersey: 4.5
vs
New York: 3.7
Power Play % (L5)
+6.7%
New Jersey: 12.1%
vs
New York: 5.4%
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.0%
New York: 53.2%
vs
New Jersey: 50.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYI Score
3.0
3
NJ Score
4.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.0 / 12.5
14.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
50.2 / 53.2
32.7 / 67.3
Hits
19.3 / 20.0
13.0 / 25.0
Power Play %
1213.0 / 541.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.3 / 26.6
24.0 / 14.0
Takeaways
4.5 / 3.7
5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NJ
NYI
NJ
NYI
ML
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
0%
0-2-1
100%
2-0-1
50%
1-1-1
100%
2-0-1
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