Home / NBA Projections NBA / Nets @ Magic BKN @ ORL

BROOKLYN

NETSBKN

13-36  |  Road

98
FINAL
Thu, Feb 5 • 7:00 PM ET
Kia Center
View Odds Details →

ORLANDO

MAGICORL

25-24  |  Home

118
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
0%
📊
MAGIC
100%
NETS --
MAGIC --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
227.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
NetsBKN (-3.5) 0 MagicORL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Nets Cover

38.2%

Magic Cover

61.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ORL +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)

BKN By 1-7 points

27.2%

BKN By 8-14 points

20.1%

ORL By 1-7 points

21.6%

ORL By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
115
BROOKLYN
112
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
105
BROOKLYN
113
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Nets Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Magic Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Magic (+9.5) Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim Magic (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o214.5 Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Sim u214.5 Win
Proj Total: 218.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 5, 2026 BKN @ ORL 98 - 118
Jan 7, 2026 ORL @ BKN 104 - 103
Nov 14, 2025 BKN @ ORL 98 - 105
Dec 29, 2024 BKN @ ORL 101 - 102
Dec 1, 2024 ORL @ BKN 100 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +24.1% more
Brooklyn: 18.3 vs Orlando: 13.9
Rebounding (L5) +16.5% more
Brooklyn: 44.9 vs Orlando: 37.5
Blocks (L5) +56.0% more
Orlando: 3.9 vs Brooklyn: 2.5
Steals (L5) +33.6% more
Orlando: 8.0 vs Brooklyn: 6.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BKN Score 115.0 98
ORL Score 112.0 118
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.7 / 28.6 28.0 / 31.0
Assists 24.7 / 24.4 32.0 / 22.0
Blocks 3.9 / 2.5 11.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 43.3 / 43.3 54.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 89.4 / 71.9 78.0 / 62.0
Rebounding 37.5 / 44.9 42.0 / 36.0
Steals 8.0 / 6.0 14.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 13.9 / 18.3 17.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
13%TICKETS87%
23%MONEY77%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
15%MONEY85%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
72%MONEY28%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0 (24.4%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
ORL Advantage
49-42-0 (53.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
38-43-1 (46.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
ORL Advantage
43-48-0 (47.3%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9% Total +/-: -0.7
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
BKN
ORL
BKN
ML
61% 65-42
53% 50-45
56% 51-40
59% 48-34
ATS
64% 68-38-1
52% 48-44-3
56% 51-40
59% 48-34
TTL
57% 61-46
57% 54-41
100% 91-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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