WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
13-36 | Road
126
DETROIT
PISTONSDET
37-12 | Home
117
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
100%
PISTONS
0%
WIZARDS
--
PISTONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
244.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DET -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
WSH By 1-7 points
5.8%
WSH By 8-14 points
1.4%
DET By 1-7 points
16.9%
DET By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
115
WASHINGTON
Detroit
129
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Washington
113
WASHINGTON
Detroit
118
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pistons
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pistons
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pistons (+15)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Pistons (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o226.5
Win
Proj Total: 244.0
D
Sim
u226.5
Win
Proj Total: 231.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 19, 2026
DET @ WSH
117 - 95
Mar 17, 2026
DET @ WSH
130 - 117
Feb 5, 2026
WSH @ DET
126 - 117
Nov 10, 2025
WSH @ DET
135 - 137
Oct 16, 2025
WSH @ DET
98 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+32.4% more
Detroit: 11.8
vs
Washington: 8.9
Assists (L5)
+15.6% more
Detroit: 28.6
vs
Washington: 24.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.0%
Detroit: 80.9%
vs
Washington: 72.9%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.5%
Detroit: 48.7%
vs
Washington: 44.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
115.0
126
DET Score
129.0
117
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.1 / 35.5
27.0 / 44.0
Assists
28.6 / 24.8
22.0 / 30.0
Blocks
4.3 / 4.7
5.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
48.7 / 44.2
47.0 / 54.0
Free Throw %
80.9 / 72.9
79.0 / 56.0
Rebounding
43.7 / 43.4
47.0 / 39.0
Steals
11.8 / 8.9
11.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
10.8 / 15.0
15.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
WSH
DET
WSH
ML
55%
64-53
70%
112-49
49%
47-49
47%
39-44
ATS
53%
60-54-3
69%
111-49-1
49%
47-49
47%
39-44
TTL
60%
70-46-1
74%
119-41-1
100%
96-0
100%
83-0
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