Home / NBA Projections NBA / 76ers @ Lakers PHI @ LAL

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

29-21  |  Road

115
FINAL
Thu, Feb 5 • 10:00 PM ET
crypto.com Arena
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

LAKERSLAL

30-19  |  Home

119
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
100%
📊
LAKERS
0%
76ERS --
LAKERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
223.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Los Angeles)
76ersPHI (-3.5) 0 LakersLAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

76ers Cover

2.9%

Lakers Cover

97.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAL -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAL)

PHI By 1-7 points

2.2%

PHI By 8-14 points

0.4%

LAL By 1-7 points

9.3%

LAL By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
102
PHILADELPHIA
121
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
115
PHILADELPHIA
118
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Lakers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lakers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Lakers (-2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim Lakers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u235.0 Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Sim u235.0 Win
Proj Total: 233.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 5, 2026 PHI @ LAL 115 - 119
Dec 7, 2025 LAL @ PHI 112 - 108
Jan 28, 2025 LAL @ PHI 104 - 118
Nov 8, 2024 PHI @ LAL 106 - 116
Mar 22, 2024 PHI @ LAL 94 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +26.1% more
Los Angeles: 10.5 vs Philadelphia: 8.3
Turnovers (L5) +22.5% more
Los Angeles: 12.9 vs Philadelphia: 10.5
Field Goal % (L5) +4.0%
Los Angeles: 51.6% vs Philadelphia: 47.6%
Blocks (L5) +25.6% more
Philadelphia: 3.4 vs Los Angeles: 2.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 102.0 115
LAL Score 121.0 119
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.3 / 38.8 36.0 / 21.0
Assists 25.7 / 26.7 27.0 / 29.0
Blocks 2.6 / 3.4 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 51.6 / 47.6 56.0 / 54.0
Free Throw % 68.7 / 81.1 81.0 / 87.0
Rebounding 40.4 / 46.0 42.0 / 28.0
Steals 10.5 / 8.3 8.0 / 15.0
Turnovers 12.9 / 10.5 22.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
34%MONEY66%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
40%MONEY60%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
79%MONEY21%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
LAL Advantage
57-35-0 (62.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
LAL Advantage
51-41-0 (55.4%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
LAL
46-46-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAL
PHI
LAL
PHI
ML
61% 68-43
63% 69-40
54% 49-42
48% 45-48
ATS
61% 67-43-1
65% 71-38
54% 49-42
48% 45-48
TTL
61% 66-43-2
55% 60-49
100% 91-0
100% 93-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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