WESTERN ILLINOIS
LEATHERNECKSWIU
4-19 | Road
72
TENNESSEE TECH
GOLDEN EAGLESTNTC
9-14 | Home
97
AI Model Win Probability
LEATHERNECKS
0%
GOLDEN EAGLES
100%
LEATHERNECKS
--
GOLDEN EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
163.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
WESTERN ILLINOIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Western Illinois)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WIU -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WIU)
WIU By 1-7 points
21.6%
WIU By 8-14 points
27.4%
TNTC By 1-7 points
9.3%
TNTC By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Western Illinois
87
WESTERN ILLINOIS
Tennessee Tech
76
TENNESSEE TECH
Simulated Score
Western Illinois
67
WESTERN ILLINOIS
Tennessee Tech
73
TENNESSEE TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Leathernecks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Eagles
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Leathernecks (-9.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Golden Eagles (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o143.5
Win
Proj Total: 163.0
D
Sim
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 5, 2026
WIU @ TNTC
72 - 97
Jan 10, 2026
TNTC @ WIU
59 - 54
Feb 27, 2025
WIU @ TNTC
82 - 69
Dec 17, 2024
TNTC @ WIU
68 - 71
Feb 15, 2024
WIU @ TNTC
62 - 55
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+159.0% more
Tennessee Tech: 2.5
vs
Western Illinois: 0.9
Assists (L5)
+63.4% more
Tennessee Tech: 12.1
vs
Western Illinois: 7.4
Turnovers (L5)
+27.2% more
Tennessee Tech: 13.4
vs
Western Illinois: 10.6
Rebounding (L5)
+23.4% more
Tennessee Tech: 33.6
vs
Western Illinois: 27.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WIU Score
87.0
72
TNTC Score
76.0
97
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.6 / 28.8
59.0 / 45.0
Assists
12.1 / 7.4
22.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.5 / 0.9
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
46.5 / 35.1
60.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
75.8 / 66.4
76.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
33.6 / 27.2
34.0 / 21.0
Steals
5.5 / 5.8
6.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
13.4 / 10.6
8.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WIU
5-26-0
(16.1%)
Margin: -11.9
ATS +/-: -5.3
TNTC
Advantage
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WIU
11-17-0
(39.3%)
Margin: -11.9
ATS +/-: -5.3
TNTC
Advantage
14-14-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
WIU
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6%
Total +/-: -0.1
TNTC
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TNTC
WIU
TNTC
WIU
ML
50%
15-15
45%
14-17
65%
15-8
61%
19-12
ATS
50%
15-15
52%
16-15
65%
15-8
61%
19-12
TTL
57%
17-13
45%
14-17
100%
23-0
100%
31-0
