SAINT PETER'S
PEACOCKSSPU
12-8 | Road
80
MANHATTAN
JASPERSMAN
9-15 | Home
75
AI Model Win Probability
PEACOCKS
0%
JASPERS
100%
PEACOCKS
--
JASPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
SAINT PETER'S
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Saint Peter's)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SPU -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SPU)
SPU By 1-7 points
1.7%
SPU By 8-14 points
6.8%
MAN By 1-7 points
0.2%
MAN By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Saint Peter's
84
SAINT PETER'S
Manhattan
56
MANHATTAN
Simulated Score
Saint Peter's
63
SAINT PETER'S
Manhattan
70
MANHATTAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Peacocks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jaspers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Peacocks (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim
Jaspers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u144.5
Loss
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 27, 2026
MAN @ SPU
65 - 75
Feb 5, 2026
SPU @ MAN
80 - 75
Feb 8, 2025
SPU @ MAN
83 - 84
Dec 6, 2024
MAN @ SPU
70 - 67
Mar 3, 2024
MAN @ SPU
57 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+14.9% more
Saint Peter's: 36.8
vs
Manhattan: 31.3
Turnovers (L5)
+14.7% more
Saint Peter's: 10.6
vs
Manhattan: 9.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.9%
Saint Peter's: 32.6%
vs
Manhattan: 30.7%
Free Throw % (L5)
+15.8%
Manhattan: 85.9%
vs
Saint Peter's: 70.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SPU Score
84.0
80
MAN Score
56.0
75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.7 / 32.6
27.0 / 30.0
Assists
13.2 / 13.7
16.0 / 22.0
Blocks
2.0 / 1.9
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
41.3 / 40.8
44.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
85.9 / 70.1
81.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
31.3 / 36.8
39.0 / 37.0
Steals
8.5 / 8.1
1.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
9.0 / 10.6
12.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SPU
Advantage
17-12-0
(58.6%)
Margin: 2.4
ATS +/-: +0.2
MAN
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -4.9
ATS +/-: -3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SPU
Advantage
16-11-1
(59.3%)
Margin: 2.4
ATS +/-: +0.2
MAN
11-19-1
(36.7%)
Margin: -4.9
ATS +/-: -3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
SPU
10-18-0
O: 35.7% / U: 64.3%
Total +/-: -0.2
MAN
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: +2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MAN
SPU
MAN
SPU
ML
52%
16-15
64%
18-10
68%
21-10
71%
20-8
ATS
52%
16-15
71%
20-8
69%
22-10
71%
20-8
TTL
77%
24-7
61%
17-11
100%
32-0
100%
28-0
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