Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wildcats @ Wolverines ACU @ UVU

ABILENE CHRISTIAN

WILDCATSACU

10-11  |  Road

55
FINAL
Thu, Feb 5 • 8:00 PM ET
UCCU Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH VALLEY

WOLVERINESUVU

16-6  |  Home

68
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
100%
📊
WOLVERINES
0%
WILDCATS --
WOLVERINES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-25.0
UTAH VALLEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +25.0 points (Utah Valley)
WildcatsACU (-3.5) 0 WolverinesUVU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

0.6%

Wolverines Cover

99.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UVU -25.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UVU)

ACU By 1-7 points

0.5%

ACU By 8-14 points

0.1%

UVU By 1-7 points

3.3%

UVU By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
65
ABILENE CHRISTIAN
90
UTAH VALLEY
Simulated Score
70
ABILENE CHRISTIAN
76
UTAH VALLEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wolverines Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wolverines Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wolverines (-14.5) Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Sim Wolverines (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o145.5 Loss
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 28, 2026 ACU @ UVU 67 - 74
Feb 5, 2026 ACU @ UVU 55 - 68
Jan 3, 2026 UVU @ ACU 68 - 85
Mar 6, 2025 UVU @ ACU 73 - 60
Jan 4, 2025 ACU @ UVU 53 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +44.8% more
Utah Valley: 4.8 vs Abilene Christian: 3.3
Rebounding (L5) +38.3% more
Utah Valley: 36.2 vs Abilene Christian: 26.2
Turnovers (L5) +24.2% more
Utah Valley: 15.4 vs Abilene Christian: 12.4
Free Throw % (L5) +16.1%
Utah Valley: 77.1% vs Abilene Christian: 61.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ACU Score 65.0 55
UVU Score 90.0 68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.6 / 33.8 33.0 / 56.0
Assists 16.2 / 14.2 20.0 / 17.0
Blocks 4.8 / 3.3 9.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 48.2 / 44.2 51.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 77.1 / 61.1 52.0 / 47.0
Rebounding 36.2 / 26.2 34.0 / 29.0
Steals 9.4 / 11.1 14.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 15.4 / 12.4 20.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
12%MONEY88%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
43%MONEY57%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
41%MONEY59%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ACU
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -2.1 ATS +/-: -2.6
UVU Advantage
25-9-0 (73.5%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ACU Advantage
13-16-1 (44.8%)
Margin: -2.1 ATS +/-: -2.6
UVU
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
ACU
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: +1.4
UVU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UVU
ACU
UVU
ACU
ML
56% 18-14
67% 22-11
72% 23-9
70% 23-10
ATS
53% 17-15
55% 18-15
74% 25-9
70% 23-10
TTL
44% 14-18
58% 19-14
100% 34-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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