Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Roadrunners @ Anteaters CSUB @ UCI

CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD

ROADRUNNERSCSUB

8-15  |  Road

62
FINAL
Thu, Feb 5 • 10:00 PM ET
Bren Events Center
View Odds Details →

UC IRVINE

ANTEATERSUCI

15-7  |  Home

78
AI Model Win Probability
ROADRUNNERS
100%
📊
ANTEATERS
0%
ROADRUNNERS --
ANTEATERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
160.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
UC IRVINE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (UC Irvine)
RoadrunnersCSUB (-3.5) 0 AnteatersUCI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Roadrunners Cover

42.1%

Anteaters Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UCI -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCI)

CSUB By 1-7 points

23.0%

CSUB By 8-14 points

12.2%

UCI By 1-7 points

26.8%

UCI By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
79
CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD
81
UC IRVINE
Simulated Score
60
CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD
72
UC IRVINE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Anteaters Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Anteaters Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Anteaters (+16.5) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Anteaters (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o144.5 Loss
Proj Total: 160.0
D
Sim u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 5, 2026 CSUB @ UCI 62 - 78
Jan 1, 2026 UCI @ CSUB 81 - 77
Feb 22, 2025 UCI @ CSUB 73 - 64
Dec 5, 2024 CSUB @ UCI 66 - 82
Feb 17, 2024 CSUB @ UCI 71 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +65.8% more
UC Irvine: 6.1 vs Cal State Bakersfield: 3.7
Rebounding (L5) +43.8% more
UC Irvine: 44.9 vs Cal State Bakersfield: 31.3
Assists (L5) +19.0% more
UC Irvine: 13.9 vs Cal State Bakersfield: 11.7
Free Throw % (L5) +1.9%
UC Irvine: 68.9% vs Cal State Bakersfield: 67.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CSUB Score 79.0 62
UCI Score 81.0 78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 24.9 / 35.0 13.0 / 27.0
Assists 13.9 / 11.7 17.0 / 12.0
Blocks 6.1 / 3.7 9.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 45.0 / 43.4 41.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 68.9 / 67.0 58.0 / 94.0
Rebounding 44.9 / 31.3 45.0 / 44.0
Steals 7.6 / 7.1 11.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 13.5 / 13.6 7.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
6%MONEY94%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
24%MONEY76%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
31%MONEY69%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CSUB
8-24-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -9.1 ATS +/-: -3.6
UCI Advantage
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CSUB
11-18-1 (37.9%)
Margin: -9.1 ATS +/-: -3.6
UCI Advantage
16-16-1 (50.0%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CSUB
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: +5.1
UCI
12-21-0
O: 36.4% / U: 63.6% Total +/-: -2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCI
CSUB
UCI
CSUB
ML
57% 20-15
55% 17-14
53% 18-16
71% 22-9
ATS
63% 22-13
61% 19-12
53% 18-16
71% 22-9
TTL
57% 20-15
58% 18-13
100% 34-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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