ELON
PHOENIXELON
13-10 | Road
79
HAMPTON
PIRATESHAMP
10-13 | Home
87
AI Model Win Probability
PHOENIX
100%
PIRATES
0%
PHOENIX
--
PIRATES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
164.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
HAMPTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (Hampton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HAMP -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HAMP)
ELON By 1-7 points
0.6%
ELON By 8-14 points
0.1%
HAMP By 1-7 points
4.0%
HAMP By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Elon
70
ELON
Hampton
94
HAMPTON
Simulated Score
Elon
65
ELON
Hampton
78
HAMPTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pirates
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pirates
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pirates (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Sim
Pirates (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o142.5
Win
Proj Total: 164.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 5, 2026
ELON @ HAMP
79 - 87
Jan 4, 2025
HAMP @ ELON
62 - 70
Mar 8, 2024
HAMP @ ELON
56 - 55
Jan 27, 2024
ELON @ HAMP
80 - 74
Feb 13, 2023
HAMP @ ELON
68 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+42.5% more
Elon: 7.4
vs
Hampton: 4.3
Assists (L5)
+26.2% more
Elon: 13.6
vs
Hampton: 10.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.0%
Elon: 44.1%
vs
Hampton: 36.0%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.9%
Elon: 34.5%
vs
Hampton: 29.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ELON Score
70.0
79
HAMP Score
94.0
87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.6 / 34.5
35.0 / 30.0
Assists
10.0 / 13.6
11.0 / 12.0
Blocks
2.8 / 2.8
6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
36.0 / 44.1
38.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
67.5 / 68.9
70.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
34.8 / 33.8
45.0 / 42.0
Steals
4.3 / 7.4
9.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
10.1 / 10.8
10.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ELON
Advantage
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: -1.1
HAMP
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: -0.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ELON
11-19-0
(36.7%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: -1.1
HAMP
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -0.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
ELON
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +1.9
HAMP
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HAMP
ELON
HAMP
ELON
ML
53%
17-15
61%
19-12
75%
24-8
71%
22-9
ATS
50%
16-16
55%
17-14
75%
24-8
71%
22-9
TTL
68%
21-10-1
52%
16-15
100%
32-0
100%
31-0
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