IONA
GAELSIONA
14-9 | Road
72
SIENA
SAINTSSIE
16-7 | Home
79
AI Model Win Probability
GAELS
0%
SAINTS
100%
GAELS
--
SAINTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
115.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
IONA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Iona)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around IONA -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IONA)
IONA By 1-7 points
15.3%
IONA By 8-14 points
25.3%
SIE By 1-7 points
4.8%
SIE By 8-14 points
1.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Iona
65
IONA
Siena
50
SIENA
Simulated Score
Iona
75
IONA
Siena
68
SIENA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Gaels
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Gaels
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Gaels (-8.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Gaels (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u140.5
Loss
Proj Total: 115.0
D
Sim
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 5, 2026
IONA @ SIE
72 - 79
Jan 2, 2026
SIE @ IONA
72 - 75
Jan 25, 2025
SIE @ IONA
68 - 72
Jan 5, 2025
IONA @ SIE
74 - 73
Mar 9, 2024
SIE @ IONA
54 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+38.8% more
Iona: 7.8
vs
Siena: 4.7
Blocks (L5)
+20.7% more
Iona: 3.0
vs
Siena: 2.4
Turnovers (L5)
+13.7% more
Iona: 10.9
vs
Siena: 9.4
Rebounding (L5)
+8.5% more
Iona: 33.6
vs
Siena: 30.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IONA Score
65.0
72
SIE Score
50.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.6 / 35.0
25.0 / 45.0
Assists
15.0 / 12.0
16.0 / 16.0
Blocks
2.4 / 3.0
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
54.5 / 40.9
52.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
77.9 / 70.6
91.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
30.7 / 33.6
35.0 / 27.0
Steals
4.7 / 7.8
10.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
9.4 / 10.9
12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IONA
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: 0.0
SIE
Advantage
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IONA
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: 0.0
SIE
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
IONA
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5%
Total +/-: -1.6
SIE
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SIE
IONA
SIE
IONA
ML
66%
23-12
41%
13-19
48%
16-17
62%
20-12
ATS
66%
23-12
53%
17-15
48%
16-17
62%
20-12
TTL
54%
19-16
66%
21-11
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
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