Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Grizzlies EWU @ MONT

EASTERN WASHINGTON

EAGLESEWU

5-17  |  Road

82
FINAL
Thu, Feb 5 • 9:00 PM ET
Dahlberg Arena
View Odds Details →

MONTANA

GRIZZLIESMONT

13-10  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
GRIZZLIES
0%
EAGLES --
GRIZZLIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
159.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
MONTANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (Montana)
EaglesEWU (-3.5) 0 GrizzliesMONT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

0.0%

Grizzlies Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MONT -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MONT)

EWU By 1-7 points

0.0%

EWU By 8-14 points

0.0%

MONT By 1-7 points

0.5%

MONT By 8-14 points

2.7%

AI Model Projected Score
63
EASTERN WASHINGTON
96
MONTANA
Simulated Score
70
EASTERN WASHINGTON
74
MONTANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Grizzlies Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Grizzlies Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Grizzlies (-6.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim Grizzlies (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o150.5 Win
Proj Total: 159.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 5, 2026 EWU @ MONT 82 - 74
Jan 10, 2026 MONT @ EWU 65 - 66
Mar 3, 2025 EWU @ MONT 72 - 83
Jan 2, 2025 MONT @ EWU 92 - 81
Feb 29, 2024 MONT @ EWU 79 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +68.1% more
Montana: 6.6 vs Eastern Washington: 4.0
Assists (L5) +31.9% more
Montana: 14.0 vs Eastern Washington: 10.6
Turnovers (L5) +22.1% more
Montana: 14.5 vs Eastern Washington: 11.9
Field Goal % (L5) +4.5%
Montana: 50.1% vs Eastern Washington: 45.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EWU Score 63.0 82
MONT Score 96.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.0 / 40.7 35.0 / 41.0
Assists 14.0 / 10.6 15.0 / 17.0
Blocks 2.1 / 2.5 1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 50.1 / 45.6 50.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 80.9 / 83.6 76.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 32.8 / 33.0 32.0 / 32.0
Steals 6.6 / 4.0 9.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 14.5 / 11.9 17.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
2%MONEY98%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
21%TICKETS79%
15%MONEY85%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
87%MONEY13%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EWU
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +2.6
MONT Advantage
18-16-0 (52.9%)
Margin: 2.7 ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EWU Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +2.6
MONT
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 2.7 ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
EWU
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6% Total +/-: +3.2
MONT
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MONT
EWU
MONT
EWU
ML
39% 13-20
64% 21-12
73% 24-9
69% 22-10
ATS
55% 18-15
64% 21-12
73% 24-9
69% 22-10
TTL
59% 19-13-1
48% 16-17
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Tom Moore Retires from UConn GM Role, Eyes Broadcasting Career
yahoo 2 days, 13 hours ago
Duke Hosts Five-Star Asa Montgomery for Official Visit, Looking …
yahoo 1 week ago
Houston Cougars Survive Georgia Southern Scare: Offensive Firepo…
si 1 week, 4 days ago
Kyrie Irving Declares Himself Ready, Cooper Flagg Reveals Growth…
yardbarker 1 week, 6 days ago
West Virginia Men's Basketball Opens Fall Practice with Revamped…
wvnews 2 weeks, 3 days ago