Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Screaming Eagles @ Skyhawks USI @ UTM

SOUTHERN INDIANA

SCREAMING EAGLESUSI

5-17  |  Road

54
FINAL
Thu, Feb 5 • 8:30 PM ET
Kathleen and Tom Elam Center
View Odds Details →

UT MARTIN

SKYHAWKSUTM

18-5  |  Home

76
AI Model Win Probability
SCREAMING EAGLES
0%
📊
SKYHAWKS
100%
SCREAMING EAGLES --
SKYHAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
203.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+9.0
UT MARTIN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Screaming EaglesUSI (-3.5) 0 SkyhawksUTM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Screaming Eagles Cover

18.4%

Skyhawks Cover

81.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UTM +9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTM)

USI By 1-7 points

24.3%

USI By 8-14 points

26.8%

UTM By 1-7 points

12.2%

UTM By 8-14 points

4.0%

AI Model Projected Score
106
SOUTHERN INDIANA
97
UT MARTIN
Simulated Score
71
SOUTHERN INDIANA
78
UT MARTIN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Screaming Eagles Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Skyhawks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Skyhawks (+11.5) Win
Proj Spread: +9.0
D
Sim Skyhawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o132.5 Loss
Proj Total: 203.0
D
Sim u132.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 5, 2026 USI @ UTM 54 - 76
Jan 10, 2026 UTM @ USI 73 - 56
Feb 27, 2025 USI @ UTM 63 - 79
Dec 21, 2024 UTM @ USI 77 - 46
Feb 15, 2024 USI @ UTM 68 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +8.1% more
Southern Indiana: 4.0 vs UT Martin: 3.6
Free Throw % (L5) +7.0%
Southern Indiana: 70.3% vs UT Martin: 63.3%
Assists (L5) +71.7% more
UT Martin: 16.1 vs Southern Indiana: 9.4
Steals (L5) +46.1% more
UT Martin: 8.8 vs Southern Indiana: 6.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
USI Score 106.0 54
UTM Score 97.0 76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.9 / 28.5 38.0 / 28.0
Assists 16.1 / 9.4 17.0 / 8.0
Blocks 3.6 / 4.0 7.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 43.8 / 33.8 45.0 / 28.0
Free Throw % 63.3 / 70.3 53.0 / 68.0
Rebounding 38.3 / 40.3 52.0 / 32.0
Steals 8.8 / 6.0 7.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 15.4 / 14.3 15.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
1%TICKETS99%
3%MONEY97%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
25%TICKETS75%
25%MONEY75%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
17%MONEY83%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
USI
7-23-0 (23.3%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
UTM Advantage
22-11-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 6.6 ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
USI
11-16-1 (40.7%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
UTM Advantage
15-14-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 6.6 ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
USI
11-17-0
O: 39.3% / U: 60.7% Total +/-: -3.3
UTM
9-21-0
O: 30.0% / U: 70.0% Total +/-: -8.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTM
USI
UTM
USI
ML
69% 22-10
67% 20-10
69% 20-9
61% 17-11
ATS
56% 18-14
70% 21-9
69% 20-9
61% 17-11
TTL
44% 14-18
73% 22-8
100% 29-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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