AI Model Win Probability
DOLPHINS
100%
ROYALS
0%
DOLPHINS
--
ROYALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
130.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Queens University)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around QUC -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (QUC)
JAX By 1-7 points
0.2%
JAX By 8-14 points
0.0%
QUC By 1-7 points
1.7%
QUC By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Jacksonville
51
JACKSONVILLE
Queens University
79
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
Jacksonville
72
JACKSONVILLE
Queens University
75
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Royals
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Royals
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Royals (-8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim
Royals (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u146.5
Loss
Proj Total: 130.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 5, 2026
JAX @ QUC
84 - 93
Jan 8, 2026
QUC @ JAX
77 - 51
Jan 25, 2025
JAX @ QUC
87 - 77
Feb 16, 2024
JAX @ QUC
65 - 74
Jan 18, 2024
QUC @ JAX
77 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+84.6% more
Queens University: 15.5
vs
Jacksonville: 8.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+10.4%
Queens University: 35.5%
vs
Jacksonville: 25.1%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.1%
Queens University: 46.7%
vs
Jacksonville: 44.6%
Blocks (L5)
+44.3% more
Jacksonville: 3.7
vs
Queens University: 2.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
JAX Score
51.0
84
QUC Score
79.0
93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.5 / 25.1
47.0 / 44.0
Assists
15.5 / 8.4
11.0 / 8.0
Blocks
2.1 / 3.7
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
46.7 / 44.6
54.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
67.8 / 71.7
73.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
32.0 / 32.3
27.0 / 30.0
Steals
5.2 / 6.7
8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
9.7 / 11.6
5.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JAX
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-: -1.3
QUC
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JAX
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-: -1.3
QUC
Advantage
14-19-1
(42.4%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
JAX
12-18-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0%
Total +/-: +1.4
QUC
22-12-0
O: 64.7% / U: 35.3%
Total +/-: +5.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
QUC
JAX
QUC
JAX
ML
71%
25-10
74%
23-8
71%
24-10
60%
18-12
ATS
86%
30-5
65%
20-11
71%
24-10
61%
19-12
TTL
47%
16-18-1
65%
20-11
100%
34-0
100%
31-0