JACKSONVILLE

DOLPHINSJAX

9-14  |  Road

84
FINAL
Thu, Feb 5 • 7:00 PM ET
Curry Arena
View Odds Details →

QUEENS UNIVERSITY

ROYALSQUC

12-11  |  Home

93
AI Model Win Probability
DOLPHINS
100%
📊
ROYALS
0%
DOLPHINS --
ROYALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
130.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Queens University)
DolphinsJAX (-3.5) 0 RoyalsQUC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dolphins Cover

0.3%

Royals Cover

99.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around QUC -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (QUC)

JAX By 1-7 points

0.2%

JAX By 8-14 points

0.0%

QUC By 1-7 points

1.7%

QUC By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
51
JACKSONVILLE
79
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
72
JACKSONVILLE
75
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Royals Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Royals Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Royals (-8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim Royals (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u146.5 Loss
Proj Total: 130.0
D
Sim u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 5, 2026 JAX @ QUC 84 - 93
Jan 8, 2026 QUC @ JAX 77 - 51
Jan 25, 2025 JAX @ QUC 87 - 77
Feb 16, 2024 JAX @ QUC 65 - 74
Jan 18, 2024 QUC @ JAX 77 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +84.6% more
Queens University: 15.5 vs Jacksonville: 8.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +10.4%
Queens University: 35.5% vs Jacksonville: 25.1%
Field Goal % (L5) +2.1%
Queens University: 46.7% vs Jacksonville: 44.6%
Blocks (L5) +44.3% more
Jacksonville: 3.7 vs Queens University: 2.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
JAX Score 51.0 84
QUC Score 79.0 93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.5 / 25.1 47.0 / 44.0
Assists 15.5 / 8.4 11.0 / 8.0
Blocks 2.1 / 3.7 2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 46.7 / 44.6 54.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 67.8 / 71.7 73.0 / 86.0
Rebounding 32.0 / 32.3 27.0 / 30.0
Steals 5.2 / 6.7 8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 9.7 / 11.6 5.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
10%MONEY90%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
33%MONEY67%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
78%MONEY22%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JAX
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-: -1.3
QUC Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JAX
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-: -1.3
QUC Advantage
14-19-1 (42.4%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
JAX
12-18-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: +1.4
QUC
22-12-0
O: 64.7% / U: 35.3% Total +/-: +5.9