AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
100%
PRIDE
0%
HUSKIES
--
PRIDE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-31.0
HOFSTRA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +31.0 points (Hofstra)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HOF -31.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOF)
NE By 1-7 points
0.1%
NE By 8-14 points
0.0%
HOF By 1-7 points
0.8%
HOF By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Northeastern
65
NORTHEASTERN
Hofstra
96
HOFSTRA
Simulated Score
Northeastern
73
NORTHEASTERN
Hofstra
82
HOFSTRA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pride
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pride
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pride (-8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Sim
Pride (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o154.5
Loss
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
HOF @ NE
82 - 68
Feb 5, 2026
NE @ HOF
63 - 80
Feb 6, 2025
NE @ HOF
77 - 68
Jan 4, 2025
HOF @ NE
55 - 37
Feb 17, 2024
NE @ HOF
62 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+47.5% more
Hofstra: 12.3
vs
Northeastern: 8.3
Blocks (L5)
+35.3% more
Hofstra: 2.8
vs
Northeastern: 2.0
Rebounding (L5)
+23.5% more
Hofstra: 41.1
vs
Northeastern: 33.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+15.2%
Hofstra: 71.4%
vs
Northeastern: 56.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NE Score
65.0
63
HOF Score
96.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.7 / 34.0
35.0 / 36.0
Assists
13.4 / 16.9
18.0 / 16.0
Blocks
2.8 / 2.0
6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
43.1 / 47.7
48.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
71.4 / 56.1
80.0 / 64.0
Rebounding
41.1 / 33.3
41.0 / 24.0
Steals
3.8 / 6.0
5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.3 / 8.3
10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NE
7-24-0
(22.6%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: -2.2
HOF
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.7
ATS +/-: +4.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NE
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: -2.2
HOF
Advantage
21-12-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 8.7
ATS +/-: +4.0
⚖️ Over/Under
NE
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5%
Total +/-: +7.6
HOF
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOF
NE
HOF
NE
ML
77%
27-8
70%
21-9
71%
25-10
60%
18-12
ATS
83%
29-6
63%
19-11
71%
25-10
60%
18-12
TTL
51%
18-17
53%
16-14
100%
35-0
100%
30-0